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On the current AP map, if each candidate wins the state in which he is currently leading, Biden wins with 270 EV. So, Trump has to find a state currently trending blue and reverse the trend. His problem is that the votes remaining to be counted are very likely to be majority Biden. So where does he ...

The RCP average had Trump + 0.2 in North Carolina Biden +0.9 in Florida Trump +1.0 in Georgia Biden +0.9 in Arizona All within the margin of error I think. Of course, Wisconsin and Michigan were obviously way out of whack. I'm wondering if voter suppression is taken into account in polling. It shou...

Agreed; this was no shining moment for 538 or so many others. I’m perfectly happy to wait and see the final vote tallies before condemning 538 to the dustbin. Too many people interrupted his model’s forecast of 90% chances of a Biden win as a prediction of a Biden landslide. That’s not correct. Tha...

During the Obama presidency, the Republican-controlled Senate adopted a strategy of trying to hold open spots for the next Republican President by not following the normal process of considering Obama's nominees for court position. This strategy culminated failing to even give a hearing to his last...

These folks had to add a new color -- deep purple -- to their map. At greater than 1000 new cases per million, the Dakotas should have their own color. But not sure what they would use.

I think there's fourth. Trump quits in a huff, in exchange from a Pence pardon. How would that help him with SDNY? Am I out of my mind? Wait. Like. I don't know what I'm talking about anymore. The chaos making is taking it's toll. No, you’re on the right track. Generally, whether a presidential par...

Ha: “Federal judge rejects GOP challenge to invalidate nearly 127,000 votes in Democratic-leaning Houston“ Goddamn Republicans are just so brazen about it now. - Doc That was scheduled to be heard by a notorious Trump-appointed judge. ETA: Not a Trump judge. A notoriously conservative GWB-appointed...

I think there are a few courses of action that Trump can take with the election if it looks like he's going to lose, no matter if it's a blowout or if it's close (it's more likely to be close than anything else). Course of Action #1 - Trump will declare himself the winner on the 3rd and until his t...

Let's strike this down first. There is no real Hunter Biden story. There is a Hunter Biden tall tale peddled by Rudy Giuliani, who has apparently lost it. Which media outlet went for the story? The New York Post, over the protests and unwillingness of the people who were forced to write or put thei...