Search found 572 matches

by Xenophon
Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:57 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: Biden Probable Winner according to FOX News
Replies: 64
Views: 11851

Re: Biden Probable Winner according to FOX News

Most morbid meme I've seen so far:

Looks like Trump sure could have used 230k extra elderly voters.
by Xenophon
Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:15 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: Trump ended COVID19
Replies: 59
Views: 13151

Re: Trump ended COVID19

Doctor CamNC4Me wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:38 pm
So, despite Trump ending the pandemic Covid-19 infections surpassed 2800 yesterday here in Utah.

- Doc
Just imagine how bad it would be if he hadn't done such great work!
by Xenophon
Thu Nov 05, 2020 5:22 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: Thursday Election Updates
Replies: 98
Views: 18120

Re: Thursday Election Updates

The Georgia race could get very interesting. I saw where the last batch of votes went about 75% for Biden and still 50k to 60k still outstanding. If that 75% rate holds or is close Georgia may very well flip. We're fast approaching a world where even the slightly more bullish models for Biden are go...
by Xenophon
Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:23 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: The Demise of Polls
Replies: 14
Views: 3109

Re: The Demise of Polls

Xeno - I’m thinking along the lines of margin of error. 538 seemed overly optimistic for my jaded senses when Nate was on an interview with Rick Wilson and Molly Jong-Fast on the New Abnormal podcast last week. This looks like much more of a squeaker than predicted and runs to the margins of ‘margi...
by Xenophon
Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:49 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: The Demise of Polls
Replies: 14
Views: 3109

Re: The Demise of Polls

Agreed; this was no shining moment for 538 or so many others. I'm curious what your particular issue with 538 was. Assuming Nevada and Michigan finish out the way they are trending their model is going to be nearly entirely spot on. Results look like they are going to fall right into the distributi...
by Xenophon
Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:38 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: Biden Probable Winner according to FOX News
Replies: 64
Views: 11851

Re: Biden Probable Winner according to FOX News

Biden is currently down over 550,000 votes in Pennsylvania, which is a 60,000 improvement from what it was a few hours ago. This is supposed to be a close one because there are so many outstanding votes in heavily Democrat areas. What I found interesting is that Biden is currently underperforming b...
by Xenophon
Wed Nov 04, 2020 2:55 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: 2020 Election Night
Replies: 97
Views: 23187

Re: 2020 Election Night

You're absolutely right about all of this. I am still pulling for Biden; I haven't given up yet. My comments this morning reflect how I feel about the race being close. It shouldn't be this close if humans are as smart as we tend to brag. It should have been over in Florida. To me, this is clear pr...
by Xenophon
Wed Nov 04, 2020 2:28 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: 2020 Election Night
Replies: 97
Views: 23187

Re: 2020 Election Night

The most depressing thing about the results so far is that it's close. There are still massive numbers of idiots in this country. Humanity's intelligence cannot be judged based on the achievements of our scientists and innovators. It has to be judged based on everyone. With that in mind, this speci...
by Xenophon
Thu Oct 29, 2020 10:25 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: A pre-election game
Replies: 38
Views: 9451

Re: A pre-election game

I certainly hope you're right about Biden winning all the states you indicated, but doesn't he have a better than even chance of winning Florida and Maine as well? And according so some polls, even Texas is not out of the question. What a wonderful blowout that would be, if it happened! Jaime Harri...
by Xenophon
Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:20 pm
Forum: Spirit Paradise
Topic: A pre-election game
Replies: 38
Views: 9451

Re: A pre-election game

Even if something moderately effective at persuading swing voters is produced at the last minute, its potential impact will be considerably diminished by the rather large proportion of voters who voted some time ago, and whose vote is therefore unaffected by what happens in the last days of the cam...