Hey Res Ipsa, thanks for the comments and ideas. Much appreciated.
I don't mean to disappoint but I'm going to bow out at this point. I'll respond to a couple of things you said, but overall this isn't feeling very productive anymore. It seems like each of us are filling our posts with condescension and sarcasm and I ain't liking that. It seems to me we're not really hearing each other and in so doing are multiplying the misunderstanding. I'd rather respectfully engage on topics and since we're so deep in I doubt we'll get out of that funk, if we want to call it that. Don't get me wrong, I've enjoyed much of the exchange and there's almost always something to get out of strident disagreement. I also would like to make clear I hold no ill will towards you or anyone else whose posted. I'm certain once I'm done here I'll leave any personal jabs related to the disagreement here, here.
Anyway, you had said:
OK, that's some progress. Of course, I don't take "of course" as evidence. Show me where Mark has led anyone to make the error you claim they've made. If it has indeed misled "many," you should be able to provide some examples. In fact, as you raised the issue in the context of this discussion, you should be able to show me examples right here in this thread.
My reference to "many" who have been misled is not intended to suggest anyone here as been totally misled. It'd be other people not found in this thread or on this board.
So, time to step up. Show us examples of people being misled by Mark to claim that it's more likely that Jesus was a myth based on a historical person than that Jesus was a myth, regardless of whether the myth is based on a real person or not.
I realize you think I don't understand the Linda problem, and I'd suggest it sounds like you are misunderstanding it, at least, a little too. I would say the asks you have narrowed this down to are getting rather tedious. All the information you are asking for is in the thread already and I really have no interest in replaying the conversations that have already taken place. Of course we can agree to disagree on this.
Let me explain quickly something about the problem that seems to be missed. From the opening quotation as I introduced it:
The biologist and popular science writer Stephen Jay Gould spoke for many when he commented, “I know that the [conjunctive] statement is least probable, yet a little homunculus in my head continues to jump up and down, shouting at me—‘but she can’t just be a bank teller; read the description.’ ”
You see. The problem is not limited to people being completely misled and claiming A+B is more probable. It's that the homunculus in the head starts acting up and people are unwilling to grant the obvious. I know you don't like that I noted you eventually agreed. But I can't help that. You did eventually agree. You say everyone has agreed already. Which is simply not true. People danced around it. And it appears we'll simply disagree here. I propose we agree to disagree and move on to other ventures.
What people are reacting to is the fact that, while the the Linda problem is an interesting way to illustrate a specific problem that can occur in reasoning, no one has been making the mistake that the Linda problem illustrates. So the push back you've been getting is pretty natural reaction to the introduction of a red herring into the discussion. And you've had all kinds of opportunity to explain why you think the Linda problem is relevant to the discussion we've been having, and have been unable to do so.
Admittedly, again, I'm not interested in rehashing, re-evaluating the conversation. To me it was fascinating how it played out. And I explained precisely how the problem is relevant, and why it adds to the points I've raised. All of my explanations can be found in the past 8 or so pages. Again you may disagree. But, disagreement is bound to happen anyway. Admittedly I didn't expect the kind of visceral reaction that came as a result by introducing the problem and subsequent comments. But I found it extremely fascinating. You can say it was because of " the push back you've been getting is pretty natural reaction to the introduction of a red herring ". And I can say, perhaps, but its quite apparent to me that's not the case. And since its not a red herring (granted we'll disagree about that too) that comes off as an excuse, retroactively applied, then an actual explanation of why things happened as they did.
I'm perfectly willing to listen to any rational explanation you can give about why you think the "Linda problem" has any relevance at all to the topic we've been discussing at great length, and in at least the third thread now
Honestly if you can't see the relevance I doubt I'd be able to help again. Its already been explained. And, again, this just feels like a tedious ask. I'd rather leave the conversation as it played out. It was very interesting from my perspective. I don't want to rehash it, or taint it with further posturing and condescension.
As I said, I have no ill will towards you, nor Honor. I'm willing to just say we disagree. There may be plenty there to talk about, but the tenor and course of the discussion has really gone south. Let's move on. And please take the last words.
“Every one of us is, in the cosmic perspective, precious. If a human disagrees with you, let him live. In a hundred billion galaxies, you will not find another.”
― Carl Sagan, Cosmos