why me wrote:sock puppet wrote:Heck, the faithful cannot even establish that Mormonism's truth claims near a 50-50 proposition, much less demonstrate ultimately a net positive.
Most faith claims in god would be 50-50. Do you have any proof that god doesn't exist? Or that the LDS church is not true? If so, you need to go to the press and make an announcement with your evidence.
However, to be a believer is not easy these days. Much more easier in the past when the christian world was more solid and less liquid.
Let's see. A proposition for which there is no evidence is something that you'd give a 50% possibility to. Let's take that and see where it goes (but mind you, I do not think there is a 50% possibility of everything that the human mind can imagine but for which there is no evidence).
Using your view of probabilities: god exists, 50%. This god has a gender, another 50%. Now, there's a 25% change of a gendered god (50% x 50% = 25%). Now, this gendered god is male, 50%. That's reducing us down to 12.5% (25% X 50% = 12.5%). This male god has a corporeal existence, 50%, dropping our probability for this evidenceless proposition to no greater than 6.25% (12.5% X 50% = 6.25%).
How much further would you like me to proceed about these Mormon truth claims in the absence of evidence? I'm sure that you can fathom that I can keep your premise going for not too many more steps before we have reached
reductio ad absurdum.
Now, let's look at the notion of an Easter Bunny. Using your logic, we begin with a 50% possibility of this magical creature existing or not. This Easter Bunny brings and hides colored boiled eggs, 25% (50% X 50% = 25%).
See why me, your assumption that any proposition that the human mind can fathom and for which there is no evidence being a 50%-50% proposition places the notion of a god right there with the Easter Bunny.
Your entire problem stems from the fact that there's no evidence.
But hey, why me, I've got this investment program for which there is no evidence, 50%-50% possibility of existing. The investment program invests in full-proof investments that return 28% annually, guaranteed. 25% probability. Now, would you please send me a check for 10% of your earnings?
why me, so forth, look for evidence, and come back and report.