Paranoia - Ben Stein - Evolution & No Intelligence FOUND

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_Ren
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Post by _Ren »

EAllusion wrote:Presumably "legitimate science" refers to good science.

Well, maybe this is where we are seeing things differently as well.

I don't really consider legitimate science good science in the sense that it gets proven right. Is that what you mean by 'good'?
I mean 'legitimate' in the sense of it follows all the rules.

I think 'Irreducible Complexity' followed all the 'rules' of science - and was a perfectly valid attack on the ToE. It made a claim against the theory that was testable against the evidence.
...It just didn't succeed is all...

I wouldn't even call it 'bad' science. Proving an 'idea' like irreducible complexity wrong contributes to science - so I'd actually call that 'good' science...
It didn't contribute in the way they intended, but it contributed non-the-less...
_Ren
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Post by _Ren »

EAllusion wrote:Continually recycling bad anti-evolution arguments is not doing legitimate science.

Well - ok. I see what you're saying here. Irreducible Complexity - for example - is certainly is a bit of a recycling act.
...but they put an original spin on it. They emphasised the idea of removing parts of a system, and turned that into it's own falsifiable claim.
Darwin's version of this same potential falsification was arguably a little vague. I mean yes, he said that if you can find an organ or system that couldn't have been produced .via incremental steps, then you would have destroyed his theory. But he didn't really give that much detail on how one would actually determine whether an organ or a system really couldn't have been created .via many small steps. The interperetation of the concept is pretty open.

Behe came up with a more solid proposal on that same idea. And I actually think he deserves credit for that.
...the fact that it is wrong is not relevant to whether it was a legitimate scientific attempt. Neither are his 'true' motives for attempting it...

Ken Miller himself gives Behe credit for making a very unambiguous mechanism to judge the evidence by...


I'm not saying I find it amazingly impressive! It all stinks of clutching at straws. But I do think that some parts of ID's attacks deserve to be called legitimate science non-the-less.

For sure - if Ken Miller talks of the 'death' of ID as a 'scientific idea', then he must of thought it was 'alive' at some point. And I'll take Ken Miller's opinion over yours or mine ;)
_Moniker
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Post by _Moniker »

RenegadeOfPhunk wrote:
Moniker wrote:That's what I thought. Then Ren was convincing me that I got it all wrong -- which is often the case!

Heh - I'm not getting across what I'm trying to say very well.
Mon - I didn't say you'd 'gotten it all wrong' :) Because you weren't 'all wrong' at all - and sorry if I managed to give that impression. I was more trying to say that there's a little bit of 'grey' in all this...


Ah! No! I just assumed I didn't quite understand ID as well as I should. If my intuitions and thoughts on it were wrong I'm glad to be corrected!

If ID is framed as a competing theory - that is to be taught in schools alongside evolution - then it fails as a theory because it cannot be tested. This is true -and that makes that view of it 'illegitimate' science.
But ID-ers are already abandoning this dream in droves. They are no longer talking about teaching a 'competing theory in schools'. (At least not 'yet'...!)


Well, they're not abandoning it. Just this last year proponents were urging school boards to offer it as a competing theory. I have no doubt they're still doing this.

The fact is that there are (or were) 'legitimate' elements to the ID argument. If you don't want to take my word for it, watch the Ken Miller presentation. HE took their argument of Irreducible Complexity seriously. This means that it was legitimate science.
If it wasn't, he wouldn't have bothered to tackle it in a scientific manner at all...

If the claim is made - 'ID isn't valid science' - some people take that to mean that anything ID ever put forward wasn't legitimate. But that isn't correct. Some of what ID put forward WAS testable, and WAS legitimate science. Even if it was - in the end - pretty conclusively proven wrong...



I'm going to finish the youtube video this evening. It's actually paused in another window as I type this. :) That may help.
_Ren
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Post by _Ren »

Moniker wrote:Well, they're not abandoning it. Just this last year proponents were urging school boards to offer it as a competing theory. I have no doubt they're still doing this.

Yeah - I'm sure you're right. I think there is a trend away from it, because when I talk to ID-ers more, the whole 'teach ID in schools' thing seems to get emphasised less and less. They lost a big battle in Dover, and they know it.
But I'm sure there's plenty of them still gunning for the schools...


But I'm also sure that this renaming from 'Intelligent Design' to 'Criticism of evolution theory' currently going on is about getting into schools faster. They won't get the ID-er in there, but as long as they get to attack evolution as much as they can in the classroom, I don't really think they are that bothered about specifically mentioning the ID-er...
...and trying to get the ID-er into the classroom is holding them back, in specific practical ways...
_EAllusion
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Post by _EAllusion »

RenegadeOfPhunk wrote:
EAllusion wrote:Presumably "legitimate science" refers to good science.

Well, maybe this is where we are seeing things differently as well.

I don't really consider legitimate science good science in the sense that it gets proven right. Is that what you mean by 'good'?
I mean 'legitimate' in the sense of it follows all the rules.

I think 'Irreducible Complexity' followed all the 'rules' of science - and was a perfectly valid attack on the ToE. It made a claim against the theory that was testable against the evidence.
...It just didn't succeed is all...

I wouldn't even call it 'bad' science. Proving an 'idea' like irreducible complexity wrong contributes to science - so I'd actually call that 'good' science...
It didn't contribute in the way they intended, but it contributed non-the-less...


I don't think the term "legitimate" has to mean proven right or accepted by the overwhelming majority of the relevant scientific community. I do, however, think it has to meet some minimum standard of cogency and be able to achieve a healthy debate among relevant experts. That allows for minority views to be thought as part of the legitimate debate. The line between legitimate and crakpotastic fringe isn't bright, but I think we can say some things are definitely across it. Creationist anti-evolutionism is to legitimate science what holocaust denial is to legitimate WW II history.
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Post by _Sethbag »

RenegadeOfPhunk wrote:The trouble isn't with the framing of the question. If an organism which is proposed to exist due to evolutionary process COULD be demonstrated to be irreducibly complex, then it would be devastating to the ToE. Even Darwin said so.

I actually don't agree, and that disagreement would extend to Darwin himself, if he actually were to believe it in light of what we know today.

Millions of species in this world appear to have evolved. If you were to present one organism which could be demonstrated to be truly irreducibly complex, with a rigorous showing that it could not possibly have evolved, then all that would do is cast some doubt on how that one organism came about. Everything else still looks like it came about through evolution. I would not be turned away from evolution by one irreducibly complex organism. It would have to be demonstrated that all the other species which do not appear to be irreducibly complex came about by means other than evolution.

Suppose the Scientologists are right, and Lord Xenu really did exist 76 million years ago. Just to throw a spanner in the works and make life tough for all the thetan-laden people whose lives he plagued with false dogmas, he came down to Teegeeack (Earth) and planted one specie he'd created in his uber-scientific biology lab, complete with irreducibly complex features. Would evolution be disproven by our finding that specie? Hardly. Laugh now, but this scenario makes as much sense as falling back on "God must have done it!" as the explanation for anything.

All we'd know if we found a specie with truly irreducibly complex features is that we haven't got a mechanism that explains how that specie came about. That's all we'd know. Evolution wouldn't be disproven as the means by which every other specie came about. And the other species out there all look like they came about through evolution. It's a powerful theory supported by mounds of evidence. To disprove evolution, you'd have to show by rigorous and provable methods that evolution either couldn't have been behind their development, of demonstrate a better-supported theory that explains them all. Explaining one of them isn't good enough.

On the contrary, if you had a million species which apparently came about through evolution and one which came about by some mysterious, non-evolutionary means, what would be the strongest conclusion? That the same mechanism behind that one specie must explain them all? Or that the mechanism (evolution) which explains the other million is still likely to be correct because there are a million examples of it? I'd say the weight of evidence still supports evolution.
Mormonism ceased being a compelling topic for me when I finally came to terms with its transformation from a personality cult into a combination of a real estate company, a SuperPac, and Westboro Baptist Church. - Kishkumen
_Ren
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Post by _Ren »

EAllusion wrote:I do, however, think it has to meet some minimum standard of cogency and be able to achieve a healthy debate among relevant experts.

You don't think the concept of 'Irreducible Complexity' achieve[d] a healthy debate among relevant experts? You're not willing to even give it even that much credit?
Can't such examples as 'the mousetrap', the disassembly of the baterial flagellum and the blood clotting mechanism be fairly strongly linked with 'prodding' from the ID camp?

The line between legitimate and crakpotastic fringe isn't bright...

Agreed. And that's what makes this an interesting discussion :)

I often find some of the 'conclusions' of Quantum Mechanics fairly 'ridiculous' to my 'common sense' understanding of the world.
Einstein had some trouble with it too I recall. He was tempted to 'wave it away', regardless of it's validity as a scientific theory - on ideological grounds. ("God doesn't play dice")

But it's proposal is 'scientifically valid', and it has stood the test of time against the evidence, so it makes no difference what I - or anybody else - thinks of it's conclusions...

Creationist anti-evolutionism is to legitimate science what holocaust denial is to legitimate WW II history.

Hmmm. Interesting analogy.
Have holocaust deniers ever said that a given (reasonable) piece of evidence, or set of evidences, could prove them wrong, like the ID-ers did with Irreducible Complexity?


Sethbag wrote:I actually don't agree, and that disagreement would extend to Darwin himself, if he actually were to believe it in light of what we know today.

Point taken. And you're right - one instance of an 'irreducibly complex' organ or system wouldn't suddenly make all other organisms on Earth evolutionarily 'invalid'.

But it would be a clear contradiction. It would be a potential falsification of the theory. It only takes one...


Newtonian physics was replaced by General Relativity, even when there was barely an example of Newtonian physics going 'wrong' - anywhere. And anywhere where it was, there were 'explanations' you could come up with to try and justify them.
One example was the slightly wrong orbit of Mercury, which was put down to a mysterious unknown object called 'Vulcan', which 'must have been messing with the orbit'.
Would you bet on Newtonian physics getting replaced, given that the evidence for it was overwhelming? And yet it was...

We need to be wary of such sure-mindedness in science. History teaches us we can't be so sure, and it is what separates US from the fundamentalists.

On the contrary, if you had a million species which apparently came about through evolution and one which came about by some mysterious, non-evolutionary means, what would be the strongest conclusion? That the same mechanism behind that one specie must explain them all? Or that the mechanism (evolution) which explains the other million is still likely to be correct because there are a million examples of it? I'd say the weight of evidence still supports evolution

Oh - for sure. When I meant 'devastating' to the ToE, I didn't mean that the ToE would die over it in practice. Even evidence that should - technically - be 'devastating' to a theory doesn't end up killing it, not with so much overwhelming counter-evidence AND without a theory that can compete with it.

The Mercury orbit was a definite anomaly against Newtonian physics at the time. Everybody knew about it, but everybody still explained it away. Because - in exactly the same way - of the ridiculous amount of positive evidence we had for it. Even though it was shown to be a technically incorrect model - proven to be so by General relativity.

Finding an irreducibly complex part or system in nature WOULD oppose our understanding of evolution. But you're right - it wouldn't 'kill' the theory until an effective competing theory came along. I would find it beyond imagination that evolution could be shown to be utter nonsense. That didn't happen to Newtonian gravity either. But it can be shown to be very much 'incomplete', or not seeing really anywhere near the 'full picture'.

It's honestly quite hard to imagine even that in relation to the ToE, but we have to remember that we've had these kinds of upsets before...
To say they simply couldn't happen in relation to the ToE would be distinctly unscientific. in my opinion.

To disprove evolution, you'd have to show by rigorous and provable methods that evolution either couldn't have been behind their development, of demonstrate a better-supported theory that explains them all.

Yes, in practice this is what would need to happen. I completely agree, and I've said so many times before.

Hardly. Laugh now, but this scenario makes as much sense as falling back on "God must have done it!" as the explanation for anything.

I don't disagree with this at all.
I think everybody should read my comments a bit more carefully. I'm obviously not getting myself across very well here:

Even if an ID-er - or anybody else - were to make a dent in the ToE, that would not lend ONE IOTA OF SUPPORT to the idea of an Intelligent Designer.
Even if an ID-er - or anybody else - were to completely destroy the ToE (however beyond imagination to both of us that possibility may appear - treat it as a pure hypothetical if you wish) even that would not lend ONE IOTA OF SUPPORT to the idea of an Intelligent Designer.

I hope I was clear enough that time :)
Knocking down the ToE (and this must be at least logically possible, or the ToE is not legitimate science) would not add ANY support to the idea of ID. I've been saying that over and over - all the time. Check back in this thread - you'll see where I say it over and over...
_Sethbag
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Post by _Sethbag »

RenegadeOfPhunk wrote:
Sethbag wrote:I actually don't agree, and that disagreement would extend to Darwin himself, if he actually were to believe it in light of what we know today.

Point taken. And you're right - one instance of an 'irreducibly complex' organ or system wouldn't suddenly make all other organisms on Earth evolutionarily 'invalid'.

But it would be a clear contradiction. It would be a potential falsification of the theory. It only takes one...

Why should it take only one? Evolution is the only scientific theory we've got right now because it's the only one we've got heaps and mounds of evidence for. Why should we exclude the possibility of multiple mechanisms for species creation? Back to Lord Xenu, what if there are designers out there releasing their creations into the wild, but most of the species evolved? Like Russel's teapot we can't outright deny that intelligent design might happen - only that we have no evidence that it ever has, and since it's not necessary (since we have evolution) there's no good reason why it needs to have happened, nor for us to believe it.

Newtonian physics was replaced by General Relativity, even when there was barely an example of Newtonian physics going 'wrong' - anywhere. And anywhere where it was, there were 'explanations' you could come up with to try and justify them.
One example was the slightly wrong orbit of Mercury, which was put down to a mysterious unknown object called 'Vulcan', which 'must have been messing with the orbit'.
Would you bet on Newtonian physics getting replaced, given that the evidence for it was overwhelming? And yet it was...

The stark difference here is that Relativity actually reduces to Newtonian mechanics at low masses/low velocities, ie: in the "real world" in which we humans live and perceive the world. Do you suppose the Intelligent Design advocates can allow a grand unifying theory of creation that is not evolution but which reduces to evolution at our level of perception? Hardly. It's Special Creation or nothing with these people.

The other disagreement I have with the analogy is that when evidence and compelling theories were provided that supported a new and overarching theory that went beyond Newtonian physics, scientists reevaluated their theories and now we accept Relativity and not stick go Newtonian Physics. With the IDers, whatever they may claim, it's the Christian God or it's not worth the time of day, supporting evidence be damned.
Mormonism ceased being a compelling topic for me when I finally came to terms with its transformation from a personality cult into a combination of a real estate company, a SuperPac, and Westboro Baptist Church. - Kishkumen
_Ren
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Post by _Ren »

Sethbag wrote:The other disagreement I have with the analogy is that when evidence and compelling theories were provided that supported a new and overarching theory that went beyond Newtonian physics, scientists reevaluated their theories and now we accept Relativity and not stick go Newtonian Physics.
With the IDers, whatever they may claim, it's the Holy Bible as literal word of God or it's not worth the time of day, supporting evidence be damned.

I agree IDers are dogmatic and fundamentalist in nature.
All I'm saying is, let's not make the same mistake in return! :)

If ID-ers are wrong, then they will fall on their own merits. That doesn't mean we have to cover our hands over our ears and shout 'LA LA LA - I'm not listening'.

A 'real' scientist should be saying 'bring it on'. That's exactly what Ken Miller says in his presentation. He doesn't say 'Go away and leave me alone'. He says 'Bring what you have to the table, and we'll deal with it...' (Which is exactly what he did do in the Dover trial...)

Why should it take only one?

Because a theory is meant to explain all relevant evidence.
If it doesn't, then it is potentially flawed. It might not be 'massively' flawed, but it could be flawed. Perhaps in a significant way...

Why should we exclude the possibility of multiple mechanisms for species creation? Back to Lord Xenu, what if there are designers out there releasing their creations into the wild, but most of the species evolved? Like Russel's teapot we can't outright deny that intelligent design might happen - only that we have no evidence that it ever has, and since it's not necessary (since we have evolution) there's no good reason why it needs to have happened, nor for us to believe it.

This really has little to do with what I've been trying to say Sethbag.
I'm not trying to say that ID-ers were practicing legitimate science when they make claims like 'The ID-er got involved in the development of life'. I'm not saying that AT ALL.

All I'm saying is that a proposal like 'Irreducible Complexity' - in and of itself - can be seen as legitimate science. The concept of 'Irreducible complexity' itself doesn't even have to mention the ID-er. It's connection to ID is that is was put forward by ID advocates...

I'm not trying to say that ID - overall - is a valid scientific theory. It's not and it never was.
All I'm saying is that 'some parts' of their argument can be considered scientifically legitimate. (In the end, proven wrong. But they were legitimate scientific proposals...)

The stark difference here is that Relativity actually reduces to Newtonian mechanics at low masses/low velocities, ie: in the "real world" in which we humans live and perceive the world.

I don't think this is an accurate way to describe it. General Relativity has replaced Newtonian gravity. The only reason we use Newtonian gravity at all is because it's so much easier to work with, and it's 'accurate enough' at low masses/low velocities - not because it is somehow 'legitimate' at low masses / low velocities.

If the maths for General Relativity was as simple as Newtonian gravitational maths, then we would never use Newtonian models of gravity ever again. They would be completely redundant. The only reason we still use them is because they are a quick, easy 'approximation' of the truth, in some cases.

General relativity IS the (currently accepted) true model for gravity. In all cases. And Newtonian gravity is not. It is that simple.

Evolution could potentially end up in a similar position - you never know. 'Accurate enough' to describe some aspects of life, but ultimately missing the big picture.

General Relativity was a MASSIVE shift in our understanding of the universe. It overturned some of our most basic notions. Notions that were seen as almost 'common sense'.

Do you suppose the Intelligent Design advocates can allow a grand unifying theory of creation that is not evolution but which reduces to evolution at our level of perception?

I think that's exactly what they've been trying to do. For a long time.
Almost every ID-er I've ever talked to is happy to talk about Natural Selection and evolutionary processes doing 'a lot of the leg-work'. They just whole-heartedly deny that it was responsible for 'all of it'.

They'd be quite happy to give evolution 'some of the credit'... Well, not so much 'happy', but 'have no choice to'...
Last edited by Guest on Tue Jan 22, 2008 12:26 pm, edited 6 times in total.
_Ren
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Post by _Ren »

Ok - think of it this way:

An Evangelical Christian goes up to a Mormon and proposes an experiment that could prove the Book of Mormon incorrect. Never mind what the experiment is, or even what the result is...

Let's say the EV says: "OK - and if this experiment goes my way, then this proves my religion to be true".

Well, the EV made a clear mistake. He claims that if the Book of Mormon is proven false, then his religion is proven true. But that's not the case - he'd be wrong to make that claim.

But just because he got that bit wrong, does that mean the experiment he proposed in relation to the Book of Mormon must be - de facto - invalid?



I'm not saying there is anything particularly impressive about the fact that a stopped clock DOES manage to tell the right time twice a day. But I think it should be acknowledged non-the-less...

And unfortunately, every time we tell ID-ers to just 'shut up and go away', we fuel the fire for things like 'Expelled'.
I prefer Ken Miller's approach. I don't want them to shut up. I want them to "Bring it on!" (And I want them to stop trying to shove their ideas into schools .via political wrangling and word-games... As long as they stop that, they are more than welcome to keep bashing their heads against the ToE. That's what science is about. Science doesn't run away from opposition - it embraces it)


I'd challenge you to go to this presentation:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JVRsWAjv ... re=related

..and go to 39:30 in the presentation for the bits about Irreducible Complexity...
Watch what Ken says about the concept. Notice that he doesn't:

* Call it unscientific
* Call it 'dumb'
* Call it 'a tired rehash'.

He does claim it's wrong - and he clearly demonstrates why it's wrong - but that doesn't mean the same thing as any of the three things mentioned above

In fact - he does the opposite. He:

* Praises it for being 'on target', direct and unambiguous
* He addresses it and attacks it as a 'legitimate' scientific idea.

I mean, I'm not making this up. See it for yourself...

He doesn't call it an 'illegitimate' scientific idea. He calls it a 'discredited' scientific idea.
I think there is a big difference...
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