Chap wrote:It is not a value judgment to say that most thoughtful people (in the sense of people who try to give serious attention to the grounds for believing or disbelieving in a proposition put to them) would be likely to agree with Sethbag that the distinctive claims of the CoJCoLDS are probably fictional.
oxygenadam wrote:It is definitely a generalization. In order to make it sound, you'd have to take a sample of "thoughtful people" from all walks of life, and from all geographic locales, as well as all socioeconomic statuses. The sample size should be at minimum 30, but in order to be more accurate, it would need to be many more.
I could, for example, just as easily say that most thoughtful people I have encountered have accepted the truth claims of the CoJCoLDS outright. Of course, I could have taken my sample from the BYU campus where LDS scholars abound.
Chap wrote:Need a really big sample of people drawn from all over the world?
I think that there are pairs of Elders out there making that large-scale trial right now, and have been for years Wonder what kinds of results they are getting from their survey? Either thoughtful people (in the sense explained above) are very, very rare, or it looks like I'm right, doesn't it?
oxygenadam wrote:Yup, growing from one person to over twelve million people in under 200 years is a testament to your correctness.
Please.
Did I not make it clear that I was not talking about the reception of the claims of the CoJCoLDS by people in a long-ago time when many normal Americans believed in 'slippery' treasure and magic rocks to find it with (or so we are often assured on this board), but about the situation 'right now' (see above), when people have the benefit of a modern education and modern access to information sources?
(Thought: is there any evidence that missionary success in getting baptisms correlates negatively with the general education level and information richness of the society that the missionary is working in? If so, that would be relevant to this discussion, would it not?)