Missionary Age Change - More Practical Consequences
Posted: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:32 pm
I think there may another practical consequence for the LDS church that the reduced age may affect. Having boys leave at 18 years of age may result in a reduction in boys going to college. Not just going to college later, but not going at all. Here's why.
If you are an LDS boy in high school, except for church owned schools, there is now no way to apply for college while still in high school. You simply can't apply to schools with no intention of going after you are accepted. Applying is simply a pointless exercise. Under the current system, there is a point in applying because you will immediately attend. Deferring after a year of college attendance still means that you were accepted and did some work; you made good on your intention to attend, even if you take that two year break.
But now there is simply no point of applying. Because of this there is less motivation to take SAT's, ACT's, write application essays, gather teacher recommendations etc., because there is nothing to do with them. The end result is I think a lot of LDS boys will simply put off thinking about college or acting on it until they are 20 and back from missions.
At that point they are going to have to restart academic life, not pick back up from where they deferred. They will have to look up high school teachers to write recommendation letters. They will have to retake or take standardized tests for the first time. They are going to have to find official transcripts, etc. I think for a sizable number of these guys, they will simply enter the work force because restarting all of that will be too big of a pain.
It will be even harder for the guys who marry immediately upon returning home. This will mainly be a Utah/Idaho phenomenon, since many college bound folks in the mission field won't find a mate until being at a church owned college. But for those Utah/Idaho guys, you are now looking at marriage with zero college years completed. A lot of them will feel pressure to support their wife and not attend at all. For those who do make it to college, it's now at least one year longer between marriage and graduation, which I think may lead to increased numbers of LDS boys not completing their college education.
Finally, this may end up being the nail in the coffin on this whole leave-at-18 phenomenon. If this does lead to less college attendance and graduation, this will lead to less money being given to the LDS church. College graduates make more $ and give more $. You may have fewer big $ donors because you have less MD's, JD's, and MBA's graduating. If this is the case, this may not be an acceptable tradeoff for the LDS church. This smells a lot like the short lived plan in the 1980's to have shorter missions because then more boys would serve. If I recall correctly, that resulted in less convert baptisms, which was also an unacceptable tradeoff to the church (even if more boys did serve, I don't recall if that ever happened).
If you are an LDS boy in high school, except for church owned schools, there is now no way to apply for college while still in high school. You simply can't apply to schools with no intention of going after you are accepted. Applying is simply a pointless exercise. Under the current system, there is a point in applying because you will immediately attend. Deferring after a year of college attendance still means that you were accepted and did some work; you made good on your intention to attend, even if you take that two year break.
But now there is simply no point of applying. Because of this there is less motivation to take SAT's, ACT's, write application essays, gather teacher recommendations etc., because there is nothing to do with them. The end result is I think a lot of LDS boys will simply put off thinking about college or acting on it until they are 20 and back from missions.
At that point they are going to have to restart academic life, not pick back up from where they deferred. They will have to look up high school teachers to write recommendation letters. They will have to retake or take standardized tests for the first time. They are going to have to find official transcripts, etc. I think for a sizable number of these guys, they will simply enter the work force because restarting all of that will be too big of a pain.
It will be even harder for the guys who marry immediately upon returning home. This will mainly be a Utah/Idaho phenomenon, since many college bound folks in the mission field won't find a mate until being at a church owned college. But for those Utah/Idaho guys, you are now looking at marriage with zero college years completed. A lot of them will feel pressure to support their wife and not attend at all. For those who do make it to college, it's now at least one year longer between marriage and graduation, which I think may lead to increased numbers of LDS boys not completing their college education.
Finally, this may end up being the nail in the coffin on this whole leave-at-18 phenomenon. If this does lead to less college attendance and graduation, this will lead to less money being given to the LDS church. College graduates make more $ and give more $. You may have fewer big $ donors because you have less MD's, JD's, and MBA's graduating. If this is the case, this may not be an acceptable tradeoff for the LDS church. This smells a lot like the short lived plan in the 1980's to have shorter missions because then more boys would serve. If I recall correctly, that resulted in less convert baptisms, which was also an unacceptable tradeoff to the church (even if more boys did serve, I don't recall if that ever happened).