Drifting wrote:From the article:
"As Church leaders had anticipated when the change was announced, the number of individuals who have begun the missionary application process has increased significantly. Typically approximately 700 new applications are started each week. The last two weeks that number has increased to approximately 4,000 per week. Slightly more than half of the applicants are women."
So we don't yet know if the missionary numbers will increase or by how many.
We do know that less than half of the applicants are men. Significant?
So we know how many applications are started each week, how many are being completed successfully?
Well let's work this out mathematically.
55,000 missionaries average for the last few years = 27,500 successful applicants each year ('ish).
700 applications started per week = 36,400
Hmmm... that means nearly 9,000 either don't get completed and handed in, or are refused...Is this a 'raising the bar' attrition rate? (25%)
How long before the current 4,000 per week drifts back down to 700 again?
I'm going to say within the next month.
Now, let's factor in the number of congregations - 28,784.
So, the number of successful applicants for missions equates to less than one per congregation per year...oh dear.
But wait!
The number conundrums keep going:
About 24,000 Mormon missionaries pass through the Provo training center every year to learn foreign languages and how to teach the LDS message before they embark on proselytizing stints in more than 120 countries across the globe.
http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/news/55072 ... s.html.cspSo if 24,000 a year go through Provo, that leaves the remaining 3,500 to go through the other MTC's, of which their are another 14.
Hmmm...
3,500/14 = 250
Really? 250 Missionaries per year on average go through the other MTC's whilst 24,000 go through Provo? Something is not really adding up here.
Unless of course, 24,000 represents Americans going on missions and the 3,500 represents the rest of the world, that would stack up. Of course it means the other MTC's are a compete waste of money and resources - just send everyone to Provo!