LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been stronger"

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_ldsfaqs
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _ldsfaqs »

I have a question wrote:You didn't answer the questions.


I answered the question, you're simply ignoring the answer.

To be even more clear, he said "The Church".... he didn't say a member, he didn't say "all 15Million are strong", etc. etc.
He said "The Church". Learn to read.
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_Elphaba
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _Elphaba »

Can someone explain how the Church defines a "defection"?

Thanks,
Elphaba
Do I contradict myself? Very well, then I contradict myself, (I am large, I contain multitudes.)
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_I have a question
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _I have a question »

ldsfaqs wrote:
I have a question wrote:You didn't answer the questions.


I answered the question, you're simply ignoring the answer.

To be even more clear, he said "The Church".... he didn't say a member, he didn't say "all 15Million are strong", etc. etc.
He said "The Church". Learn to read.


Can the membership be weak whilst simultaneously The Church is strong?
“When we are confronted with evidence that challenges our deeply held beliefs we are more likely to reframe the evidence than we are to alter our beliefs. We simply invent new reasons, new justifications, new explanations. Sometimes we ignore the evidence altogether.” (Mathew Syed 'Black Box Thinking')
_sock puppet
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _sock puppet »

Elphaba wrote:Can someone explain how the Church defines a "defection"?

Thanks,
Elphaba

Since it was bcspace who used the term in this thread, it means those who have become democrats.
_Chap
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _Chap »

ldsfaqs wrote:
I have a question wrote:You didn't answer the questions.


I answered the question, you're simply ignoring the answer.

To be even more clear, he said "The Church".... he didn't say a member, he didn't say "all 15Million are strong", etc. etc.
He said "The Church". Learn to read.


I have a question wrote:
Can the membership be weak whilst simultaneously The Church is strong?


Easy - the CoJCoLDS has coasting along for years with a membership that is static as a proportion of the US population, despite the high Mormon birthrate, and that is only likely to fall in future. Hardly any mentally normal persons with a place in society in a first world country, a functioning brain and internet access are likely to join this religion in the coming decades. The core US membership is flatlining, and can only go down.

On the other hand, the Corporation of the President has lots and lots of lovely $$$$ and owns lots of land and businesses. It doesn't have to tell anybody its financial position, and it gets tax breaks for being a religion. So, the Church is strong all right.
Zadok:
I did not have a faith crisis. I discovered that the Church was having a truth crisis.
Maksutov:
That's the problem with this supernatural stuff, it doesn't really solve anything. It's a placeholder for ignorance.
_mackay11
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _mackay11 »

Chap wrote:
KevinSim wrote:
I'm sure some people who have left the Church are like that, but I'm also sure that a lot are like my daughter who has gone inactive but who is gradually taking steps that might lead her back to activity.


In that case, we ought to be able to see the level of activity rising again. Are we?

A good test of Sethbag's statement can be drawn from the Pew survey a few years back, in which people in the US were asked to say that their religion was, if any. The number declaring themselves to be 'LDS/Mormon' was considerably less that the claims of membership made by the CoJCoLDS.


Ahem... It's usually the leadership who forget this is a global church... Not an American one.

I wouldn't be surprised if the "never stronger" claims are dependent on non-USA (and non-Europe) based growth in absolute numbers. I find it very believable that numerically there have never been more members.
_passenger
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _passenger »

mackay11 wrote:Ahem... It's usually the leadership who forget this is a global church... Not an American one.

I wouldn't be surprised if the "never stronger" claims are dependent on non-USA (and non-Europe) based growth in absolute numbers. I find it very believable that numerically there have never been more members.


That's a good point. The image doesn't tell us about the total number of members, only estimated numbers, but their distribution. I don't know if it's based on LDS statistic, but I think it's reliable, because it's wikipedia.

Image
(LDS global distribution)

In Germany, by the way., there are approx. 38,000 Mormons (LDS).
_Chap
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _Chap »

Chap wrote:
KevinSim wrote:
I'm sure some people who have left the Church are like that, but I'm also sure that a lot are like my daughter who has gone inactive but who is gradually taking steps that might lead her back to activity.


In that case, we ought to be able to see the level of activity rising again. Are we?

A good test of Sethbag's statement can be drawn from the Pew survey a few years back, in which people in the US were asked to say that their religion was, if any. The number declaring themselves to be 'LDS/Mormon' was considerably less that the claims of membership made by the CoJCoLDS.


mackay11 wrote:
Ahem... It's usually the leadership who forget this is a global church... Not an American one.

I wouldn't be surprised if the "never stronger" claims are dependent on non-USA (and non-Europe) based growth in absolute numbers.


You may well be right.

mackay11 wrote: I find it very believable that numerically there have never been more members.


Can we just expand that a little?

I find it very believable that in terms of the numbers of names listed on the church's records for overseas countries there have never been more members.


I suspect that there is often a rather large discrepancy between the names on the list and the names you would get if you listed only those who thought of themselves as LDS members, and yet another discrepancy if you limited yourself further to listing the names of those who turned up to church with any regularity.

This site:

http://ldschurchgrowth.blogspot.fr/2011 ... ember.html

gives the UK 'activity rate', that is, percentage of listed members who show at least minimal church involvement, as 18%. The estimated world rate outside the US and Canada is 22.5%.

If I was an apostle, yup, I might put all the weight I could on statistics from outside the US. But I think I would know that in terms of actual tithing income, I could forget about everywhere else but the US. Again using the UK as an example, the church's published accounts for that country show that it runs deeply in the red, and is kept afloat by subventions from Salt Lake City. Is it likely that Burundi does much better?
Zadok:
I did not have a faith crisis. I discovered that the Church was having a truth crisis.
Maksutov:
That's the problem with this supernatural stuff, it doesn't really solve anything. It's a placeholder for ignorance.
_honorentheos
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _honorentheos »

Themis wrote:
Quentin Cook wrote:At the same time, there has been what I call a dramatic increase in the numbers of temple-endowed members with a current temple recommend, adult full-tithe payers and those serving missions.

CaliforniaKid wrote:This is an interesting qualifier, to say the least.


It is. I would think with the age decrease for missionary service we are seeing a surge in missionaries which results in a surge in endowed members current temple recommend holders and of course full tithe paying members. As the surge ends we will still a higher number of women missionaries, and since those who didn't go would usually wait until marriage until getting endowed.

Interesting point. The correlation between increased numbers of youth going on missions and their adult parents, etc., becoming temple worthy to attend with them would be interesting to dig into deeper.
The world is always full of the sound of waves..but who knows the heart of the sea, a hundred feet down? Who knows it's depth?
~ Eiji Yoshikawa
_ZelphtheGreat
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Re: LDS getting desperate: "the church has never been strong

Post by _ZelphtheGreat »

He is talking about the stench from all the lies coming out.
“If paying tithing means that you can’t pay for water or electricity, pay tithing. If paying tithing means that you can’t pay your rent, pay tithing. Even if paying tithing means that you don’t have enough money to feed your family, pay tithing." Ensign/2012/12
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