krose wrote:Oh no, not Stubbs again [facepalm].
Just think how many fun things we could insert into these blanks:
If _____'s thesis about _____ is correct, we have proof _____!
If Alex Jones's thesis about Sandy Hook is correct, we have proof that the US government pretended to murder children to influence polit
If Kyrie Irving's thesis about the earth is correct, we have proof the world is flat!
Yes the ghost of Nibley forever haunts them as it has convinced them all they need is to make it possible, no matter how unlikely. This is a much weaker and hence useless method than going with the probabilities. Sure it's possible eagles can fly and soar at the top of Cumulo Nimbus clouds 55,000 feet high, but is it probable they do so on a daily basis?
Sure its possible that the ancient Phoenicians colonized Australia and Greenland too, but is it probable?
Sure its possible that a man can workout all his life, eat healthy, exercise 12 hours a day, and get a good nights 8 hour rest, and high jump over a bar 14'6", but is it probable?
So long as apologists let Nibley's ghost haunt them they can never get at what is actually more realistic. That, they think, is the key to keeping testimony. A much stronger, more realistic method is working with the probable and going with it, provisionally realizing we are human and new information will come about that makes it so we have to change our minds. But in the meantime we are entirely justified in going with what is most probable, even if we are in error at the time.
John with. Loftus book "The Outsider Test of Faith" is the fundamentally strongest book on this I have ever read. If apologists want to know what makes critics tick and why they come out as they do against apologetic arguments, Loftus will remain an absolute ***must read*** book.