I was also having a conversation with Dan Peterson
Me: No need for a map...With thousands of inscriptions around finding one that fits Nahom shouldn't be that hard, and NHM was a tribe, not a burial ground...When we want to find something we find it.
Peterson: And when we're determined not to see it, we don't. The NHM altars were found at the right place, in the proper relationship to another well-suited place, dating to the right time, at the one location along Lehi's Arabian trail where the toponym isn't one that he bestowed upon the place
Me: but that "right place" has thousands of inscriptions... I am sure you know a lot about antiquity, but I think you need to read about cognitive biases and mathematical thinking
Peterson: And you're a spectacular living illustration of cognitive biases
Jack: Of course, you could be right that the NHM correspondence ultimately boils down to coincidence. But, oh, what a coincidence. It is a perfect storm in how all of the proper elements converge to make it look like a real whopper.
I don't understand why there being other inscriptions at the site would be problematic. It's not likely that there would only appear the giant letters "NHM" on the altars. The more salient fact is that those letters happen to appear *where* they do *when* they do.
Also, Nephi's idea of the direction "eastward" is probably rather narrow as he is fussy enough to note a change from "south-southeast" to "nearly eastward." He didn't say that they bent their course a little more to the east. The sense is: "Now we're traveling toward the east." And his use of the word "nearly" is rather telling as it connotes a straight course with minimal deviations
Me: No need for some crazy 1 in a million coincidence. The odds of finding "NHM" where there are thousands of inscriptions are not that low. Nearly eastward allows for many sites, it is not specific enough. Say I am in Lincoln county of Oregon state, I travel "south-southeast" and end up in Nevada. I decide to turn "nearly eastward" until I reach the ocean. Which state did I end up in? It is hard to know which state I ended up in, let alone a specific site. I simply didn't give you enough information.
B Wilson: You don't need to be a person of lower cognitive ability to have spectacular biases.