The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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huckelberry
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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Physics Guy wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2024 8:08 am
Carroll is right, I and most physicists would agree, that we have indeed as good as ruled out the existence of supernatural forces and substances that are counterparts to the forces and particles that we know in physics. This is a bit like saying that we have determined conclusively that books consist only of paper and ink. That doesn't mean we understand literature. Books and brains are lumps of atoms, so it's not a category mistake to think of trying to understand literature as a physical phenomenon, but it's too hard. Our great understanding of how ink adheres to paper doesn't go far with fiction.

To say that ruling out extra forces means ruling out karma, providence, and prayer is a straw man fallacy. Most people who believe in those things aren't specific about exactly what they mean, but very few of them would nail their colours to a mast about non-physical forces. They're not really believing that story is a third slippery substance that has to go into the book between the pages to make the story work. They're believing that a story needs a protagonist who first fails and then triumphs—that there are rules for stories besides the rules that stick ink to paper.
Physics Guy's long post has interesting things, I selected the simplest piece which I saw for the argument.

Carol and Pinker have disproved a view of God’s relation to us that nobody has ever believed in.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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huckelberry wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2024 5:20 pm
Physics Guy's long post has interesting things, I selected the simplest piece which I saw for the argument.

Carol and Pinker have disproved a view of God’s relation to us that nobody has ever believed in.
That’s simply not true. As far as I can tell, Physics Guy lives in a secular community and only associates with sophisticated people, and is unaware with how superstitious many people are in other parts of the world. Here in America, we are surrounded by people who believe in things like the gift of tongues, prophecy, revelation, visions, healing, interpretations of tongues, and so forth. Some people literally believe in dualism--that there is a thinking, seeing, hearing ghost in the machine that survives the death of the brain. Some people believe that through supernatural powers that are granted through priesthood ordinances, people can "raise the dead, call down fire from heaven, cause the heavens to withhold rain, and render a barrel of flour inexhaustible.”

Your claim that nobody has ever believed in ESP, telekinesis, clairvoyance, and precognition is laughable. Making exactly the same point that Pinker made in my earlier quote, Carroll said:

Today, parapsychology is not taken seriously by most academics. The magician and skeptic James Randi has offered a million dollars to anyone who can demonstrate such abilities under controlled conditions; many have tried to claim the prize, but to date no one has succeeded.

And nobody ever will succeed. Psychic powers—defined as mental abilities that allow a person to observe or manipulate the world in ways other than through ordinary physical means—don’t exist. We can say that with confidence, even without digging into any controversies about this or that academic study.

The reason is simple: what we know about the laws of physics is sufficient to rule out the possibility of true psychic powers.


Carroll, Sean M. . The Big Picture: On the Origins of Life, Meaning, and the Universe Itself (p. 154). Penguin Publishing Group. Kindle Edition.

It’s refreshing to hear that nobody in Physics Guy’s orbit believes in the supernatural, but your claim that "nobody has ever believed” in the supernatural is laughable.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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Gadianton wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2024 3:15 pm
My criticism of some of the new atheism here is that it implies the old atheism wasn't good enough. Now we know enough to definitively rule out the hand of God -- doesn't that mean that a couple hundred of years ago, atheists were presumptuous?
I don’t see that. To me, new atheism simply acknowledges that with a modern understanding of science, the debate about God is over and the atheists have won. Now, belief in God and in the supernatural isn’t a plausible truth proposition that should be seriously considered and debated. Rather it is a curious psychological, sociological, and sometimes harmful phenomenon that should be described in a frank way and not given a pass as something that is outside of the domain of science.

The God Delusion, for example, isn’t a serious argument against the existence of God like Atheism: the Case Against God. Rather, it is a bit of a disorganized rant about religion that mainly addresses questions like what are the psychological and sociological roots of religion? What are the roots of morality, i.e. why are we good? What is wrong with religion (besides it being obviously false)? Is raising your child in a bad religion child abuse?

The target of new atheism isn’t so much believers in religion, but rather postmodern secularists who think that all religions and non-religions are equally deserving of respect in their own societies.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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They're not really believing that story is a third slippery substance that has to go into the book between the pages to make the story work
Indeed. I agree with Analytics, Physics Guy hasn't been to Sic et Non lately.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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I hate to wimp out on huckelberry, but actually I do admit that plenty of religious believers are outright and vocal substance dualists, and that this aspect of their position is every bit as untenable as Carroll and others say it is. When I say that belief in providence or karma or prayer isn't belief in additional substances, I'm focusing narrowly on those specific beliefs. Very many of the people that believe in those things do also believe in additional substances, and furthermore often confuse their beliefs in providence or karma with their other beliefs. When I say, "they don't believe", I'm being Jesuitically precise: their beliefs about providence or karma or prayer do not actually commit them to believing in additional substances.

It's like saying that believing in sunrise and sunset isn't believing that the Sun goes around the Earth. It really isn't; but on the other hand people do tend to think that way, even if they really shouldn't. I think it is a straw man fallacy to conflate belief in providence etcetera with substance dualism, but it's a fallacy that a lot of religious people also commit, even though instead of kicking down the straw man, they admire it.

My fight against substance dualism isn't just an apologetic dodge. I also argue with people with whom I share religious beliefs, to try to get them to see that nothing they believe about spirit needs spirit to be a substance. I'm probably keener on this issue because it happens to parallel my professional struggle with a more purely physical dualism, about heat. In the 18th century people believed that heat was a substance; Rudolf Clausius was the prophet who declared that heat was instead a kind of motion. In principle he convinced everyone and we've accepted that, but I feel that many physicists do not take his point seriously enough, and still treat heat superstitiously. So I'm the kind of pedant who complains that people aren't properly understanding what they are doing, even when I don't object to their conclusions. I'm that way about spirit as well.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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Analytics wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2024 7:15 pm
huckelberry wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2024 5:20 pm
Physics Guy's long post has interesting things, I selected the simplest piece which I saw for the argument.
Carol and Pinker have disproved a view of Gods relation to us that nobody has ever believed in.
That’s simply not true. As far as I can tell, Physics Guy lives in a secular community and only associates with sophisticated people, and is unaware with how superstitious many people are in other parts of the world. Here in America, we are surrounded by people who believe in things like the gift of tongues, prophecy, revelation, visions, healing, interpretations of tongues, and so forth. Some people literally believe in dualism--that there is a thinking, seeing, hearing ghost in the machine that survives the death of the brain. Some people believe that through supernatural powers that are granted through priesthood ordinances, people can "raise the dead, call down fire from heaven, cause the heavens to withhold rain, and render a barrel of flour inexhaustible.”

Your claim that nobody has ever believed in ESP, telekinesis, clairvoyance, and precognition is laughable. Making exactly the same point that Pinker made in my earlier quote, Carroll said:

Today, parapsychology is not taken seriously by most academics. The magician and skeptic James Randi has offered a million dollars to anyone who can demonstrate such abilities under controlled conditions; many have tried to claim the prize, but to date no one has succeeded.

And nobody ever will succeed. Psychic powers—defined as mental abilities that allow a person to observe or manipulate the world in ways other than through ordinary physical means—don’t exist. We can say that with confidence, even without digging into any controversies about this or that academic study.

The reason is simple: what we know about the laws of physics is sufficient to rule out the possibility of true psychic powers.


Carroll, Sean M. . The Big Picture: On the Origins of Life, Meaning, and the Universe Itself (p. 154). Penguin Publishing Group. Kindle Edition.

It’s refreshing to hear that nobody in Physics Guy’s orbit believes in the supernatural, but your claim that "nobody has ever believed” in the supernatural is laughable.
I spoke, check the quote, of people’s belief in God’s ability to act. The stuff about telekenisis and other magic systems is a different subject. People have had all sorts of notions about those thing. Disproving those magic powers does not prove God does not exist.

I made no claim that there are not people who have ever believed in ESP, telekinesis, clairvoyance, and precognition. Obviously there are people who have believed these. That they are mistaken does not mean God cannot do miracles. God does not rely on a magic power core or some such magic theory.

I find I need to add a qualification. My memory starts to remind me of some ideas of P. P. Pratt I believe and some other early Mormon animated material speculations. I am wrong to say nobody saw a connection between God and standard magic theory.
Last edited by huckelberry on Fri Jun 07, 2024 9:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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Analytics wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2024 4:50 pm
My understanding is that our ignorance is based on the underlying nature of reality and not a function of not having precise-enough and subtle-enough instruments to detect things without disturbing them. Isn’t the real point of the uncertainty principle that to the extent that a particle’s position is known, its speed is fundamentally unknowable? This unknowableness is intrinsic to the math and isn’t really talking about our ignorance per se, isn’t it?
I like to explain this point in lectures by asking students to think about a robot orchestra playing robot music. The robot players can be incredibly precise. But can even a perfect robot orchestra play a perfect 440 Hz A note at a particular nanosecond? No, because the precise frequency of exactly 440 Hz means a pattern of air pressure that repeats every 1/440 of a second. To even say that the pattern repeats itself that way needs at least a couple of 440ths of a second, meaning that the pattern has to extend over millions of nanoseconds. To say exactly when that pattern begins, to a nanosecond, isn't just physically impossible: it's logically impossible.

The impossibility of position and velocity both being precisely defined is just like that impossibility of having frequency and time both precisely defined. Moreover this isn't just a qualitative analogy. The mathematical relationship between time and frequency really is exactly the same as the mathematical relationship between position and velocity. Why that should be is not at all clear. To our intuition, velocity and position aren't related that way at all. Quantum mechanics just says that in fact they are related that way, as an axiom.

This is the thing about "quantum indeterminacy". It's only an indeterminacy if one tries to fit it into the more intuitive framework of classical mechanics, in which momentum and position are completely independent quantities. A basic fact of classical mechanics is that the laws of nature are differential equations of second order, so that position and momentum at any one time, separately, are necessary and sufficient inputs in order to say what happens through all time. Limitations on how well one can possible know both position and momentum count in classical mechanics as limitations on what we can say about anything. Quantum mechanics, however, is a radically different framework. You can see how different it is by talking about simpler systems than particles, with their position and velocity, and instead just discussing two-state systems, like heads-or-tails coins or zero-or-one bits. That's why my first quantum lectures are about bits rather than particles.

In its own way quantum mechanics is utterly deterministic. Its kind of determinism just doesn't map simply onto classical determinism. In fact it's kind of crazy, with this deterministically evolving "amplitude" whose practical meaning seems hard to pin down. At some point you back quantum mechanics into a corner and force it to say what that weird amplitude thing actually means, concretely, when for example you measure something. Then it pulls out a probability knife.

The quantum state evolves deterministically. What it means for measured properties, however, is only a probability distribution. Neither can we say that the quantum state actually is nothing but a probability distribution, however. The rule for deducing the probability distribution from the quantum state is simple but that's the problem. It's literally just squaring two things and adding them. The problem is that this isn't logic.

If you insist on trying to fit this into the logic of classical mechanics, then in many cases it's kind of as if quantum mechanics has this extra randomness. That's not really what quantum mechanics is like, though. Quantum mechanics is this simple rotation in a higher-dimensional space, with nothing random at all. The randomness only comes from trying to describe it in classical terms.

Including trying to measure it with big, clunky meters whose arrows swing around their dials classically. That's the problem of quantum-classical correspondence.

It does come out looking like randomness. Quantum states evolve with perfect determinism, however, that is even of a particularly simple form—until we measure them. This is a perverse, naïve picture that gives a special role to humans and our measurement devices, even though these are just big lumps of atoms like everything else. Unfortunately, though, we still can't do anything better. We've come from Bohr's crude model of quantised orbits to the renormalisable relativistic quantum field theory of the Standard Model, but we haven't been able to improve on Bohr's old measurement axiom at all.

Anyway: I said that a particular quantum state of the universe must have an image under reverse time evolution through 14 billion years. The particular state could be a state in which Jesus's feet are held up against gravity by an atypical proportion of upward strikes from molecules. My statement wasn't a guess or a wish. It's exact. Any state has such an image, and that image state is no more or less unlikely than any other particular state having the same global features like charge and energy.
We’re not merely asking the universe to provide a state where Jesus walks on water at time t. We are also asking for that state to lead to another state at t + 1 where he is walking on water again. And that needs to be true again and again and again for billions of different nanoseconds so that the feat of walking on water persists for a few seconds.
You're quite right about this, and it does raise the stakes enormously. Even when you or I step into water, half the time the random molecular strikes on our feet are going to hold us up a bit more than they do on average—by definition. It amounts to a delay in our sinking of at most a few picoseconds, I'd guess, depending on how we measure this delay; the reduction in how far we sink is probably much less than the uncertainty in how to define the water surface level, given that water is really a bunch of molecules whose spatial extent is also uncertain. For walking on water, even for a few seconds, that luck in molecule strikes has to hold for what counts as an enormously long time on molecular scales.

If we were talking about a human effort to design a controlled swimming pool for Elon Musk to walk across, this would be a decisive point. It's not clear to me that it has any weight at all in a discussion of God. It is in principle possible to keep on walking on water for a while. God could nail that. Maybe there are limits on how long the water-walking could last that even God couldn't surpass without revising the laws of physics. Are there limits too short to support a story of water-walking? Maybe, but it's not obvious. For what it's worth, I'd bet not.

(I'd bet a beer; maybe a bottle of wine, but not so much more than that. I actually think it's very unlikely that Jesus walked on water. I'm just using it as a thought experiment to point out that he maybe could have, in principle. I think the story is a garbled account that was probably based on an episode in which he walked by on shore while his disciples struggled to land in a storm, if it wasn't simply made up completely, or copied from some other story, by people who thought it was totally the kind of thing that would have happened with Jesus.)
My original thought was that there couldn't exist an early state of the universe that necessarily leads to that. This state not existing was driven by my sensibilities regarding the granular and stochastic nature of reality, chaos theory, and the 2nd law of thermodynamics.
This is a sensible thought, but it's not actually supported by our current understanding of reality, chaos, or the Second Law. That's not because you in particular have somehow failed. It's because these are things that nobody really understands now. We understand some great things about all those things, but we don't understand them enough.
It makes me think of a supernatural meddler in reality who is making extreme measures to create the illusion that the world works according to natural law and takes extreme measures to be unknown and unknowable, when the underlying reality is the exact opposite. It’s a disturbing thought.
I think this is overly pessimistic, because I think of the theorem that the most efficient encoding of information produces random signals. We should not expect God to be deliberately hiding from us by making things look random. We should, however, expect a God who has far more knowledge and power than us to do things that look random to us.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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I don't think it's good to cite Carroll's publication statistics against bill4long. Getting articles published in peer-reviewed journals is an achievement, all right; publishing articles that are useful enough that other people cite them is an even bigger achievement. In the end these are only imperfect proxy markers, however, for the real achievement of getting us closer to truth. And if someone with no publication record at all makes a valid point, that point's valid.

We've had some posts on physics topics here recently that really didn't deserve any attention at all. Sometimes the statistics are worth noting. We've also had physics posts by High Spy that I had to recognise as accurate and insightful, however, even though I find most of High Spy's posts incomprehensible. And in this thread bill4long's point about Bell's theorem and locality was quite right.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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Gadianton wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2024 5:10 pm
Totally unwarranted Godel mysticism. As if QM isn't bad enough already on its own.
Amen. Preach it, brother.

Quantum mechanics is weird but mathematically simple. In lectures I sometimes venture the suspicion that creation got hit with a big budget cut before release and had to revert to a cheap and dirty solution and hope that the client wouldn't notice.
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Re: The New ATHEISM. and the Latter Day Saints.

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I've sort of made my peace with the universe being weird. There is definitely a positivist impulse that says the universe should be intuitive (some presupposing what counts as intuitive). But I think there is another impulse that says it shouldn't be intuitive. Understanding our minds, the thing that does the understanding, shouldn't be straightforward. And understanding reality on the stage shouldn't explain the stage. If there were a Lego world, everything reduces to smaller Lego pieces that all fit together the same way, and Lego philosophers would be really tempted to say that maybe you could keep going, and it's Lego pieces all the way down, but they are stuck really tight. Imagining plastic in a liquid form getting poured into a mold wouldn't be easy.
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