13 Keys Tracker

[Dr. Shades]

Use the second link that's right in the OP. The one that says "information". That's why it's there.

Will you please summarize it for those of us who don't have an hour and 14 minutes to spend watching the whole thing?

[honorentheos]

Use the second link that's right in the OP. The one that says "information". That's why it's there.

Will you please summarize it for those of us who don't have an hour and 14 minutes to spend watching the whole thing?

It's interesting you don't know about this after it's regular surfacing every Presidential election cycle.

[Dr. Shades]

Will you please summarize it for those of us who don't have an hour and 14 minutes to spend watching the whole thing?

It's interesting you don't know about this after it's regular surfacing every Presidential election cycle.

Will you please summarize it for me?

[Xenophon]

Will you please summarize it for me?

The summary portion from wikipedia for you:

The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.

The system is a thirteen-point checklist that assesses the situation of the United States and political system ahead of a presidential election: when five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the incumbent party nominee is predicted to win the election, but when six or more items on the checklist are false, the challenging party nominee is predicted to win.

Some of the items on the checklist involve qualitative judgment, and therefore the system relies heavily on the knowledge and analytical skill of whoever attempts to apply it. Using the system, Lichtman has correctly predicted the popular vote outcomes of each presidential election from 1984 to 2012. Though Lichtman claims he called the 2016 election correctly based on the 13 keys, his 2016 book and paper stated that the keys only referred to the popular vote, which Donald Trump lost.[1][2][3] He switched to just predicting the winner after the 2016 election, stating recent demographics changes give Democrats an advantage in the popular vote in close elections, and correctly called the outcome of the 2020 election.[4][5]

Lichtman argues that the checklist's content and its track record of reliability prove that American voters select the next president according to how well the country was governed in the preceding four years and that election campaigns have little, if any, meaningful effect on American voters. If American voters are satisfied with the governance of the country, they will re-elect the president or elect their party's nominee, but if they are dissatisfied, they will transfer the presidency to the challenging party.

[Dr. Shades]

Will you please summarize it for me?

The summary portion from wikipedia for you:

Ahh, this makes much more sense. Thank you! I get what Jersey Girl is talking about now.