What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

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_Analytics
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _Analytics »

Jason Bourne wrote:I thought Romney had given specifics like cut rate across the board by 20% which I heard Ryan repeat to Chris Wallace. I believe he proposes eliminating tax on cap gains and all investment income for income for earners below $200k Also, I have a detail of both Obama's tax proposals and Romney's and have two staff doing a seminar on it in a few weeks. Here is a link that goes into some of this:

http://taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/romney-plan.cfm

I think the thing he is vague on is limiting itemized deductions for high income earners and this is what Ryan was vague about.

Dude! Your link says the opposite—he has not specified how it would work!

Because Gov. Romney has not specified how he would increase the tax base, it is impossible to determine how the plan would affect federal tax revenues or the distribution of the tax burden. TPC has analyzed instead the effects of the specified proposals in the Romney plan. These estimates provide a guide as to how much the base broadening would need to raise taxes in different income groups to achieve the plan’s targets.

TPC’s analysis measures the change in tax liabilities against two alternative baselines: current law, which assumes that the 2001-10 tax cuts all expire in 2013 as scheduled, and current policy, which assumes that the 2011 law is permanent (except for the one-year payroll tax cut and temporary investment incentives).3 Compared with the current law baseline, the Romney plan (absent base broadening) would cut taxes for about three-fourths of taxpayers by an average of more than $7,000. In contrast, compared with current policy, about 11 percent of tax units would see their 2015 taxes go up an average of nearly $900 while 70 percent would get tax cuts averaging almost $4,300. The tax increases reflect the expiration of three provisions enacted in 2009: the American Opportunity Tax Credit and the expansion of the earned income credit and the child credit.

Also in the absence of such base broadening, TPC estimates that on a static basis, the Romney plan would lower federal tax liability by about $900 billion in calendar year 2015 compared with current law, roughly a 24 percent cut in total projected revenue. Relative to a current policy baseline, the reduction in liability would be about $480 billion in calendar year 2015.


Whenever you change the tax system in a revenue-neutral way, there will be winners and losers. The fact of the matter is the government needs more revenue. Who will be paying more under Romney's plan? The 47% that he doesn't care about?
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_Kevin Graham
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _Kevin Graham »

Roger beat me to it. The article says exactly the opposite. This is why Romney deserves so much criticism. He doesn't explain how the math is supposed to work. He just insults our intelligence by essentially saying, "trust me on this, and I'll explain it, maybe, after you elect me." But these are the kinds of things people need to know beforehand to judge whether or not they agree with his plan.

Incidentally, I was reading this article to some friends last night: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/0 ... 29638.html

People making $50k/year will soon see their income shrink by $80/month because Obama's payroll tax cut is set to expire in just a few months. Most people, many of whom hate Obama, had no idea they were already enjoying this extra money during his tenure, and the irony is that some of them actually attack him for taxing too much!
_Jason Bourne
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _Jason Bourne »

Sheesh can people read? I said he had given specifics on where he would cut and how he would treat investment income but that he was VAGUE on the specifics of limiting deductions, etc which is exactly what my link pointed out.
_beastie
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _beastie »

Jason Bourne wrote:Beastie come on. Nobody is proposing such a thing for low middle class. Romney proposes 20% cuts and limits on deductions for higher income taxpayers. Bush cut taxes proportionately on everyone yet many cry that it was unfair because higher income earner got a larger dollar amount deduction. But everyone saved and of course lower income save less amounts because they pay less. That was my point.


Really, Jason? Your own link says:

Tax provisions in the 2009 stimulus act and subsequently extended through 2012 would expire. These include the American Opportunity tax credit for higher education, the expanded refundability of the child credit, and the expansion of the earned income tax credit (EITC).


Compared with the current law baseline, the Romney plan (absent base broadening) would cut taxes for about three-fourths of taxpayers by an average of more than $7,000. In contrast, compared with current policy, about 11 percent of tax units would see their 2015 taxes go up an average of nearly $900 while 70 percent would get tax cuts averaging almost $4,300. The tax increases reflect the expiration of three provisions enacted in 2009: the American Opportunity Tax Credit and the expansion of the earned income credit and the child credit.


You do realize that the Earned Income credit is used by low income voters. We discussed this before. the EIC had broad bipartisan support and was called the "best anti-poverty" measure ever enacted in the US.

“The Earned Income Tax Credit is the best anti-poverty, the best pro-family, the best job creation measure to come out of Congress.”

Ronald Reagan

Besides that, the fact is that Romney can't enact all these tax reductions in a revenue neutral way UNLESS he also goes after the middle class's deductions. Home mortgages. Child credit. Of course he can't say these things out loud.

In one way or the other, he's lying. Either he's lying about his tax plan being revenue neutral or he's lying about not raising taxes on the middle class. It's just math. Or the lack of it, to be more accurate.
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_beastie
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _beastie »

Kevin Graham wrote:Roger beat me to it. The article says exactly the opposite. This is why Romney deserves so much criticism. He doesn't explain how the math is supposed to work. He just insults our intelligence by essentially saying, "trust me on this, and I'll explain it, maybe, after you elect me." But these are the kinds of things people need to know beforehand to judge whether or not they agree with his plan.

Incidentally, I was reading this article to some friends last night: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/0 ... 29638.html

People making $50k/year will soon see their income shrink by $80/month because Obama's payroll tax cut is set to expire in just a few months. Most people, many of whom hate Obama, had no idea they were already enjoying this extra money during his tenure, and the irony is that some of them actually attack him for taxing too much!



Part of Obama's problem is that he hasn't advertised himself as flagrantly as Bush did. When Bush enacted a tax break, he mailed it out in one big check. HEY! Here's a check from George Bush! Enjoy! Instead, Obama did the more sensible thing, the thing that could more directly benefit the economy due to the higher likelihood that people would simply spend it each month. He put it in the paycheck. So he doesn't get credit.

Hey, that gives me an idea. Maybe Obama should have dressed in a flight suit and jumped out of an airplane with a huge check, a la Clearing House Sweepstakes.
We hate to seem like we don’t trust every nut with a story, but there’s evidence we can point to, and dance while shouting taunting phrases.

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_Analytics
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _Analytics »

Jason Bourne wrote:Sheesh can people read? I said he had given specifics on where he would cut and how he would treat investment income but that he was VAGUE on the specifics of limiting deductions, etc which is exactly what my link pointed out.

It's like he was really specific about the spoonful of sugar, but very vague about the medicine that goes with it. In terms of offering a responsible tax policy, all he's done is cynically promised a whole bunch of people money without suggesting that anybody would have to sacrifice. It gives me the same reaction as the kid running for student body president who promised that if elected, the lunch hour would increase by 25 minutes: yea, right.
It’s relatively easy to agree that only Homo sapiens can speak about things that don’t really exist, and believe six impossible things before breakfast. You could never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven.

-Yuval Noah Harari
_Jason Bourne
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _Jason Bourne »

Ok I was sloppy with the link I provided and did not read it carefully.

So I stand corrected there.

Much of what is current tax law-rates, credits, payroll tax cuts, etc are all slated to expire the end of this year. The agreement between the president and congress is what resulted in the now impending fiscal cliff that the tax law changes could be a part of.

I will tell you what. I will try to dig up the side by side comparison I have of the presidents ideas and Romney's. Not sure it will cut and paste here.
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _moksha »

A Romney-Ryan plan to help the middle class overcome their tax burden through banking in the Cayman Islands is best left till after the election since all those reporters, except for Fox Media and the Wall Street Journal, would jump all over it.
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_beastie
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _beastie »

Jason Bourne wrote:Ok I was sloppy with the link I provided and did not read it carefully.

So I stand corrected there.

Much of what is current tax law-rates, credits, payroll tax cuts, etc are all slated to expire the end of this year. The agreement between the president and congress is what resulted in the now impending fiscal cliff that the tax law changes could be a part of.

I will tell you what. I will try to dig up the side by side comparison I have of the presidents ideas and Romney's. Not sure it will cut and paste here.


Thanks, Jason.
We hate to seem like we don’t trust every nut with a story, but there’s evidence we can point to, and dance while shouting taunting phrases.

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_Jason Bourne
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Re: What Romney should say about his planned tax policy...

Post by _Jason Bourne »

The document I have is too large to put it all here and it is pdf. I will copy some selected parts that you may find interesting.

Income Tax Rates

Under current law, the 10, 15, 25, 28, 33,
and 35 percent individual income tax rates,
originally enacted in 2001 and most recently
extended by the 2010 Tax Relief Act, are
scheduled to expire after 2012. The 10 percent
rate would disappear entirely and the
remaining rates would be 15, 28, 31, 36,
and 39.6 percent after 2012.

Obama
Obama has proposed to continue the Bushera
individual tax rates for all but “higherincome”
individuals (which the White House broadly defines as individuals with
incomes over $200,000 and families with
incomes over $250,000). Under Obama’s
proposal, the individual income tax rates
after 2012 would be 10, 15, 25, 28, 36, and
39.6 percent. The inflation-adjusted rate
brackets associated with the Bush-era rates
would also continue, except for adjustment
within the new 36 and 39.6 rates to accommodate
the $200,000/$250,000 threshold

Romney
Romney has proposed to extend permanently
the current individual income tax
rates of 10, 15, 25, 28, 33, and 35 percent.
COMMENT. For the longer term, Romney
also has discussed comprehensive tax reform
as replacing current rates with a more
streamlined, and lower, tax structure.

Capital Gains/Dividends
Under current law, qualified capital gains
and dividends are taxed at zero percent for
taxpayers in the 10 percent and 15 percent
brackets and at 15 percent for all other taxpayers.
This investor-friendly treatment,
originally enacted in 2003 and extended in
the 2010 Tax Relief Act, is scheduled to expire
after 2012.

Romney
Romney has proposed to make permanent
all of the Bush-era tax cuts, including the
reduced tax rates on qualified dividends and
capital gains. Romney has also discussed
exempting from tax all capital gains, dividends
and interest for individuals making
less than $200,000 a year.

Obama
Obama has proposed to tax dividends as ordinary
income for higher-income individuals
(taxpayers in the proposed 36 percent
and 39.6 percent tax brackets) after 2012.
Capital gains would be taxed at a 20 percent
rate after 2012 for individuals with incomes
over $200,000 and families with incomes
over $250,000.

Child Tax Credit
Under current law, the $1,000 child tax
credit, originally enacted in 2001 and most
recently extended by the 2010 Tax Relief
Act, is scheduled to expire after 2012.

Obama
Obama has proposed to make permanent
the $1,000 child tax credit.

Romney
Romney has proposed to make permanent
the $1,000 child tax credit.

IMPACT. Unless extended, the child
tax credit will be $500 effective January
1, 2013. Additional enhancements
made in the Bush-era tax cuts will also
expire. The current child credit starts to
be phased out for taxpayers with income
exceeding $110,000 (for joint filers) or
$75,000 (for single individuals).

Adoption Credit
The Bush-era tax cuts enhanced the adoption
credit and the 2010 Tax Relief Act extended
these enhancements through 2012.

Romney
Romney has proposed to extend the Bush era
tax cuts, including the enhanced adoption
credit.

Obama
Obama has proposed to extend the enhanced
adoption credit.

COMMENT. The Patient Protection and
Affordable Care Act (PPACA) made additional
enhancements to the adoption credit,
which expired after 2011. Obama has not
proposed to extend these enhancements and
Romney has proposed to repeal the PPACA

Child And Dependent Care Credit
The child and dependent care credit is a
percentage of the amount of work-related
child and dependent care expenses paid by a
qualified taxpayer to a care provider, subject
to income limitations. Enhancements to the
child and dependent care credit extended by
the 2010 Tax Relief Act are scheduled to expire
after 2012.

Obama
Obama has proposed to extend the enhanced
child and dependent care credit.

Romney
Romney has proposed to extend all of the
Bush-era tax cuts, including the child and
dependent care credit.

Payroll Tax Holiday
After December 31, 2012, the current payroll
tax holiday is scheduled to expire. The
employee-share of OASDI taxes is scheduled
to increase from 4.2 percent (in effect
for calendar year 2012) to 6.2 percent (the
employer share remains 6.2 percent).

Obama
Obama has not addressed the payroll tax
holiday.

Romney
Romney has not addressed the payroll tax
holiday.

American Opportunity Tax Credit
The American Recovery and Reinvestment
Act of 2009 enhanced and renamed the
Hope education credit as the American Opportunity
Tax Credit (AOTC). The 2010
Tax Relief Act extended the AOTC through
2012. After 2012, the Hope credit, with its
lower benefits would return.

Romney
Romney has not addressed the AOTC.

Obama
Obama has proposed to make permanent
the AOTC.

COMMENT. The AOTC reaches up to
$2,500 of the cost of tuition, fees and
course materials paid during the tax year.
The AOTC is based on 100 percent of
the first $2,000, plus 25 percent of the
next $2,000, with adjusted gross income
phase-outs starting at $80,000 for singles
and $160,000 for joint filers. The Hope
credit was limited to the first two years
of post-secondary education. The AOTC
may be claimed for all four years of postsecondary
education.

INDIVIDUALS: 2014
AND BEYOND
The basic goal for tax reform on the individual
tax level expressed by both candidates
is to broaden the tax base and lower tax
rates. The candidates agree that tax reform
should be revenue neutral. Each candidate
also forecasts an improved economy from the
savings of a simplified tax system and lower
overall rates.

Income Tax Rates
Implementation of tax reform on the individual,
personal return level in time for the 2013
tax year is considered an impossible stretch
by most observers. Both candidates see some
extension of the Bush-era income tax rates
for 2013 as an immediate issue that neither
party can avoid by moving straight into comprehensive
tax reform. Also recognized is that
the more comprehensive the tax reform, the
more gradually it may need to be phased in,
particularly the elimination of certain deductions
to finance targeted tax rate reductions.
COMMENT. While some economists and
others have called for a consumption tax
similar to a value added tax (VAT) or
national sales tax to supplement the individual
income tax and allow for lower
rates, neither candidate has endorsed such
proposals. Consensus is that such an additional
tax will remain politically unfeasible
at least for the near future. Nevertheless,
proponents have a louder voice now
than they have had for quite some time.

Romney
Romney has suggested an across-the-board
20 percent reduction in individual marginal
tax rates (for example, those now in the top
35 percent bracket would pay at a 28 percent
rate and those now in the bottom 10 percent
bracket would pay at a 8 percent rate). Few
other specifics, however, have emerged. Like
Obama, he is not ruling out finding at least
some revenue for individual tax reform from
higher-income taxpayers, saying that rate
reductions would be revenue neutral, that
he would place no new tax burdens on the
middle class, and that “we are not going to
have high-income taxpayers pay less of a tax
burden than they pay today.” Romney has not
yet defined the parameters of “high-income”
taxpayers nor the nature of those reforms and
“loophole closing” that would counterbalance
the benefits gained by those in the higher-income
group through lower tax rates.

Obama
Obama has endorsed lower tax rates for
middle and lower-income taxpayers and
has said he would not be open to limiting
deductions for that group. He has stated
that revenue can be found in part by taxing
higher-income individuals (those in the
“top two percent”) and significantly limiting
their benefits from all itemized deductions.

Targeted Deductions
And Other Tax Breaks
In return for lower tax rates, each candidate in
varying degrees looks to limiting current tax
benefits as part of the “quid pro quo.” Benefits
that have been in the spotlight include:
Mortgage interest deduction. Interest on
mortgage debt up to $1.1 million secured
by a principal residence and second residences
is currently deductible.

Obama
Obama has proposed to limit the mortgage
interest deduction indirectly by limiting the
benefit of all itemized deductions taken by
higher-income individuals.

Romney
Romney has suggested eliminating the ability
of higher-income taxpayers from deducting
mortgage interest on second homes, but
without defining “higher-income.”
Charitable deductions. Charitable contributions
are deductible as an itemized deduction
generally up to 50 percent of adjusted
gross income.

Romney
Romney has hinted that he would be open
to limiting the tax benefits from charitable
deductions for higher-income taxpayers.

Obama
Obama has proposed to reduce the benefit
through an overall limitation on itemized
deductions for higher-income individuals.

IMPACT. Charities are concerned that eliminating
deductions for charitable contributions
would depress future giving. The original
Pease limitation excluded both medical
expenses and charitable deductions from its
reach, unlike these latest reform proposals.

Municipal bond interest. Most municipal
bond interest is currently exempt from federal
income tax.

Obama
Obama would limit the exclusion of municipal
bond interest for higher-income taxpayers.

Romney
Romney would tax some portion of this
otherwise tax-exempt interest from municipal
bonds based upon income level.
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