New Jersey - 83% Reported at 2AM R+.55%

[Xenophon]

Don't ask me, I'm not the one that believes they exist.

[Marcus]

Murphy, Philip i
1,199,614
49.94%


Ciattarelli, Jack
1,184,723
49.32%


Updated: Nov. 03, 2021 12:51

https://elections.ap.org/New Jersey/results/202 ... ceid/31033

[K Graham]

Is it normal for non-Republicans to be this giddy and ecstatic over Republicans potentially willing elections in other states?

[Cultellus]

Murphy, Philip i
1,199,614
49.94%


Ciattarelli, Jack
1,184,723
49.32%


Updated: Nov. 03, 2021 12:51

https://elections.ap.org/New Jersey/results/202 ... ceid/31033

Based on that report, it is over. Outstanding precincts are almost exclusively in Blue/Murphy counties. Fascinating to watch this go down to the wire. Almost certainly, it will land outside a 0.5% margin.

[Xenophon]

County by county information is pretty interesting. Several wide shifts for both parties. From 538:

[Marcus]

Based on that report, it is over. Outstanding precincts are almost exclusively in Blue/Murphy counties. Fascinating to watch this go down to the wire. Almost certainly, it will land outside a 0.5% margin.

Maybe you’re joking but counties with as yet unreported precincts are in northern and central jersey. A couple lean Democrat or even, but by far the largest one leans strongly GOP.

(Edit, sorry, corrected county numbers)

[Cultellus]

Based on that report, it is over. Outstanding precincts are almost exclusively in Blue/Murphy counties. Fascinating to watch this go down to the wire. Almost certainly, it will land outside a 0.5% margin.

Maybe you’re joking but counties with as yet unreported precincts are in northern and central jersey. A couple lean Democrat or even, but by far the largest one leans strongly GOP.

(Edit, sorry, corrected county numbers)

You are looking at Monmouth? (8.29% Share)
I was looking at the counties with less than 80% counted. (Essex D+46, Middlesex D+9, Camden D+22, Mercer D+15)

[Xenophon]

Assuming current outstanding counties land about where they are currently trending for the rest of their votes I think you'd rather be Murphy here. Stranger things have happened though.

[Cultellus]

Assuming current outstanding counties land about where they are currently trending for the rest of their votes I think you'd rather be Murphy here. Stranger things have happened though.

No question about that. If it reverses, it would be like last year, but during the daytime. A change from here would be a HUGE statistical anomaly.

[Marcus]

Assuming current outstanding counties land about where they are currently trending for the rest of their votes I think you'd rather be Murphy here. Stranger things have happened though.

No, i'm def leaning Murphy, I just thought the comments about "up the turnpike" and "shenanigans" were painting an inaccurate picture.