subgenius wrote:MeDotOrg wrote:Trump's baseline supporters are with him through thick and thin. He will always draw a good crowd, and most of the people in that crowd will love his antics.
But Republicans that are not true blue Trump supporters are pulling away. Trump supporters laughed when he mocked the idea of being 'Presidential', but I think a lot of people are beginning to realize that Trump could not be Presidential if he tried. It's not in his nature. And the district didn't swing 20 points because Saccone was bland and uninspiring. That's not nearly enough of a reason. I think maybe 7 points at MOST for Saccone being uninspiring. The rest you can lay on the President.
The GOP outspent the Democrats. They hired door knockers to walk precincts, and still they couldn't win a district they'd won by 20 points less than 2 years ago. The Trump show is loved by a few, but it is starting to get old for most.
I think your post underestimates how many Democrats didn't show up to vote for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
You could very well have a point there.
Another thing I was thinking about is that more and more Democrats are running away from Nancy Pelosi. After Hillary, Pelosi is probably the most toxic name. People say 'San Francisco Liberal' the way they used to say 'Jewish Physics'. I live about half a mile from Nancy Pelosi drive (ironically, you turn right onto Nancy Pelosi). She is a very capable leader but I fear she carries too much baggage nationally. The national GOP money ran a lot of anti-Pelosi ads at Lamb, and he really had to distance himself from her. This has to be hard for her to hear, because I'm sure she would love to lead the House if the Democrats can turn it this fall. But changing leadership might be what is needed to take back the House in the first place.