Will VA be like Florida or PA?

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Xenophon
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Re: Will VA be like Florida or PA?

Post by Xenophon »

Just catching up on 538s coverage and I thought this little nugget was interesting.
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Cultellus

Re: Will VA be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

Xenophon wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 8:46 pm
Just catching up on 538s coverage and I thought this little nugget was interesting.
Image
That last one seems like an implausible if. I just do not see the give a damn's necessary for this, but I have no connection to VA other than VAMike and a few friends who do not give a damn. Advantage McAuliffe.
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Re: Will VA be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

Atlanticmike, give us your prediction.

I am going with McAuliffe by Friday.
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Atlanticmike
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Atlanticmike »

Cultellus wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 11:24 pm
Atlanticmike, give us your prediction.

I am going with McAuliffe by Friday.
I voted and haven't heard any news and haven't even looked to find out, don't really care. But, I think it will be McAuliffe and we will know tonight. I hope I'm wrong.
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

Atlanticmike wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 11:31 pm
Cultellus wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 11:24 pm
Atlanticmike, give us your prediction.

I am going with McAuliffe by Friday.
I voted and haven't heard any news and haven't even looked to find out, don't really care. But, I think it will be McAuliffe and we will know tonight. I hope I'm wrong.

At 18 percent, McAuliffe is whoopin ass.
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Xenophon
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Xenophon »

Cultellus wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 9:10 pm
That last one seems like an implausible if. I just do not see the give a damn's necessary for this, but I have no connection to Virginia other than VAMike and a few friends who do not give a damn. Advantage McAuliffe.
Keep in mind it isn't the total votes that has to match 2020, just the distribution. The first two points are the truly difficult asks. I just thought it was interesting to highlight the uphill nature of a R win.
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Xenophon
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Xenophon »

Do not pay any mind to the vote counts right now, far too little reporting to know what is what. Don't be like the TV dummies that made hay over an early Biden lead in Texas. Let the results come in, drink some beer. Wake up tomorrow with actual numbers.
He/Him

"A master in the art of living draws no sharp distinction between his work and his play, his labour and his leisure, his mind and his body, his education and his recreation." -L.P. Jacks
Cultellus

Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

Xenophon wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 11:39 pm
Cultellus wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 9:10 pm
That last one seems like an implausible if. I just do not see the give a damn's necessary for this, but I have no connection to Virginia other than VAMike and a few friends who do not give a damn. Advantage McAuliffe.
Keep in mind it isn't the total votes that has to match 2020, just the distribution. The first two points are the truly difficult asks. I just thought it was interesting to highlight the uphill nature of a R win.
Up two hills. Or three.
Cultellus

Re: Will VA be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

McAuliffe early returns.... 66% of the Votes by Mail. Holy hell. This is like watching reruns of Seinfeld.

CNN just declared Stacey Abrams the winner of the VA Governor election. Weird.
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Atlanticmike »

Cultellus wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 11:38 pm
Atlanticmike wrote:
Tue Nov 02, 2021 11:31 pm


I voted and haven't heard any news and haven't even looked to find out, don't really care. But, I think it will be McAuliffe and we will know tonight. I hope I'm wrong.

At 18 percent, McAuliffe is whoopin ass.
I don't know about the rest of the state but here in the 7 cities we really haven't "suffered" enough for Democrats to think about voting for a Republican in my opinion. And that's a good thing! We've done fairly good through covid and the military presence always helps with our local economy. Also, there's absolutely no way northern Virginia will ever vote republican again and that's the area that actually matters the most. Central and the west part of Virginia just doesn't have the population density to even come close to making a difference and that's unfortunately where all the republican votes come from.
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