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bcspace wrote:http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

This is meaningless, of course. RCP also has Obama winning 294 to 244 if the election were held today. Romney has to make up ground in places like Ohio and Iowa, but he's not.

It's not meaningless since just a few days ago it was something like O-226 and R-191. And just a few days before that Romney was at 176. Of course if by meaningless you are merely referring to the fact that the election is not being held today, I agree. But Romney is slowly but surely catching up to Obama and is even surpassing him on multiple issues and in several states that were once considered secure for Obama. On top of that, it's not at a rate that's too slow for Nov 6.

I wonder why NC is considered a lean Romney with 5 points but MI is considered a toss up with 5 points. What's the criteria?

EAllusion wrote:I wonder why NC is considered a lean Romney with 5 points but MI is considered a toss up with 5 points. What's the criteria?

Above 5% is a leaning, 5% or less is a toss-up.

Thus, Michigan (5.0) is a toss-up, while North Carolina (5.6) is leaning.

Bob Loblaw wrote:

EAllusion wrote:I wonder why NC is considered a lean Romney with 5 points but MI is considered a toss up with 5 points. What's the criteria?

Above 5% is a leaning, 5% or less is a toss-up.

Thus, Michigan (5.0) is a toss-up, while North Carolina (5.6) is leaning.

Gotcha

BC wrote:It's not meaningless since just a few days ago it was something like O-226 and R-191

You've been saying Romney has been in the lead the whole time, so how is it possible he's now taking the lead?

Wow, I remember '84 was pretty good, but '72 wasn't bad either. What was Nixon so worried about that he needed to plant bugs at Watergate? Did he really want Massachusetts that bad?

Gadianton wrote:

BC wrote:It's not meaningless since just a few days ago it was something like O-226 and R-191

You've been saying Romney has been in the lead the whole time, so how is it possible he's now taking the lead?

The conservative "unskewed' polling BCSpace referenced earlier when he was pushing the polling conspiracy to explain Obama's lead when Romney secretly was way up now has Romney +21. +21

EAllusion wrote:The conservative "unskewed' polling BCSpace referenced earlier when he was pushing the polling conspiracy to explain Obama's lead when Romney secretly was way up now has Romney +21. +21

It's funny how both sides attack the polls when the numbers aren't what they want.