Biden Probable Winner according to FOX News

[Jersey Girl]

What is 538? And what is AJC that was mentioned above?

Should I be looking at those?

Fivethirtyeight.com is Nate Silver’s site. They are live-blogging election returns. They are very good number crunchers. AJC is the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, a respected Atlanta newspaper.

by the way, the latest totals from Maricopa County went 60-40 for Trump. If that continues, he is likely to win the state. Depends a little on Pima County,too.

So, more nail biting.

I've heard Nate Silver comment. Thanks!

[Icarus]

"We just got a batch of about 74,000 Maricopa County votes that split 59-41 for Trump. This narrowed Biden’s statewide lead to about 79,000 votes. To close that gap, with about 418,000 ballots left to count statewide, Trump would have to win the remaining ballots … 59-41. One silver lining for Biden, though: A fair number of those remaining 418,000 ballots are in Pima County, which is bluer then Maricopa." - NATHANIEL RAKICH 538

"Earlier today, election officials in Pima County, Arizona, said there were between 26,000 and 34,000 early ballots left to count and the county will be updating daily as it makes its way through counting these and verifying an additional 18,300 provisional ballots, which can take longer than normal tabulation" - KALEIGH ROGERS 538

"Prior to this latest report from Maricopa, Arizona’s secretary of state had said that about 600,000 votes remained uncounted statewide and about 420,000 were in Maricopa County (Phoenix) specifically. If Trump were to win around 59 percent of all of those outstanding votes, it would be just enough to put him over the top. However, we don’t really know just how the remaining votes will trend." - GEOFFREY SKELLY 538

[Moksha]

Crazed Trump supporters were mau-mauing election headquarters in Clark County Nevada tonight. They view counting ballots as being harmful to the manifest destiny of Trump. They want Chancellor Trump to secure America über alles.

[Res Ipsa]

Here's a good Washington Post article that explains why some media outlets have called Arizona and some have not. https://www.washingtonpost.com/media/20 ... ona-biden/

[Res Ipsa]

Here's a good Washington Post article that explains why some media outlets have called Arizona and some have not. https://www.washingtonpost.com/media/20 ... ona-biden/

ETA:

The Georgia secretary of state keeps revising the estimate of the number of absentee ballots remaining: The latest word is 61,367. That means Biden has to win at least 65 percent of them in order to take the lead.

Per 538 blog.

[Gunnar]

Per 538, GA Secretary of State says 122K left to count. Biden would need about 66% of those to win.

How realistic is the hope that he will get that much?

[Res Ipsa]

Per 538, GA Secretary of State says 122K left to count. Biden would need about 66% of those to win.

How realistic is the hope that he will get that much?

Pretty realistic. Where the ballots are still outstanding, he's been over performing that percentage.

[Jersey Girl]

Watching John King manipulate this map makes things easier for me to understand where we're at. Trump can't win without PA. Biden doesn't need it.

John King: If Trump loses here, he's done
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yY61es0Vj_Y

[Res Ipsa]

Watching John King manipulate this map makes things easier for me to understand where we're at. Trump can't win without PA. Biden doesn't need it.

John King: If Trump loses here, he's done
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yY61es0Vj_Y

John King has been doing the magic wall for so long that he's gotten quite good at it. On election night, his biggest problem was Blitzer interrupting.

[Jersey Girl]

Watching John King manipulate this map makes things easier for me to understand where we're at. Trump can't win without PA. Biden doesn't need it.

John King: If Trump loses here, he's done
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yY61es0Vj_Y

John King has been doing the magic wall for so long that he's gotten quite good at it. On election night, his biggest problem was Blitzer interrupting.

I've watched him all along. I don't like the multiple scenarios early on. That's why I try not to pay attention to polls. Show me what's going on when it's down to the wire. That's what I want and he makes it understandable.