Binger wrote: ↑Wed Jan 26, 2022 5:15 pm
Res Ipsa wrote: ↑Wed Jan 26, 2022 4:51 pm
I didn't say the anecdote is well poisoning. Saying I would reject it because it didn't fit my narrative before I had a chance to react to it is classic well poisoning.
You can swear your anecdote is absolutely true a thousand times. It has no impact on me. You've demonstrated a poor record of accurately reporting facts, which, for me, discounts the reliability of your anecdote below the already low reliability of anecdotal evidence. The chart is a compilation of data. It is consistent with reports of hospital and ICU usage by vaxxed vs. unvaxxed patients during the Omicron surge across the country. So, what to trust? Data that is consistent across the country or an anecdote by an anonymous rando on a message board who has already displayed low reliability and and obvious contrarian agenda? Hmm. If I want to be right, the answer is obvious.
So, in a pandemic, living life here on the ground, are we not always exposed to this? Consistent with hospital and ICU usage by vaxxed and unvaxxed according to who? According to what? According to Rolling Stone Magazine? The same source that brought you a report about emergency room usage? What is the source of your data and why do you need to generalize it based on what someone said about the country? And why, would that data contradict a factual assessment of the life on the ground?
You have selectively organized your sources and those who are allowed to talk and what they are allowed to say. Of course your opinions and selective information approves and confirms your bias. That is the effing point.
When we dismiss something as factual as 17 of 24 patients testing positive on a single nursing wing, after being vaxxed and after testing negative, are we killing the messenger, metaphorically? If we repost a report from Rolling Stone saying that ICUs were full of overdoses and turning away unvaccinated antivaxxers in Das MAGAland, but it was not true, are we crying wolf? Is there a spectrum of these behaviors on both sides?
No. Using Rolling Stone as your foil is a cherry pick. Just like your anecdote. What you're selling is paranoia about medical experts and institutions across the country, offering anecdotal, cherry-picked contrarian "evidence" as an alternative. We've got a brand new disease that is out of the range of experience of anyone. It's inevitable that people will get things wrong and make bad calls. But, clearly, the worst calls have been made by the contrarians. John Iodannis, anyone?
But, this is Pandemic: life on the ground. Not epistemology 101. If you want to have a discussion of how we know what we know and how to have the best odds of being right, let's start a new thread.
As for life on the ground, when I told my family my test was negative and said I didn't need to isolate and I didn't need to mask anymore, they're reaction was "but we don't want to catch your nasty cold." So, they left me to my isolated bedroom and continued to mask. And when I got up this morning, I thought "I don't want them to get this nasty cold, either." So i'm working today in my KN95 and will be extra scrupulous about hand washing.
It was a complete change in thinking about colds. I suspect there's going to be other changes in thinking as a result of the pandemic.