Lemmie wrote:Yes, hence the quick and dirty; if I factored in a percentage of active who attend/watch general conferences, let alone other types of conferences, the set of female watchers would be much smaller. My prediction would be far, far less than even half a million. Clearly nowhere near the 'millions' stated.
Agreed. But for the sake of balance let's assume 3 of the 5.4 are female and that females are more diligent than males at watching Conference. Considering the age for attendees I'd suggest the absolute maximum audience would be 2 million.
You didn't read my original post, did you? 'For the sake of balance' I already accounted for adult female, age-included audience using specific information, and came up with a specific number.
And no, I won't use females are more diligent than males in attendance unless you provide a specific reference for that. And by specific I mean scientific, not Mormon.
Lemmie wrote:Are you kidding? Or just joshing me?! I said it was quick and dirty, so I assumed the 0-12 group could stand in for the one minus 0-8 group.
But just for you, assuming the 0-12 group is distributed evenly:
5{1-[2/3)50]/[(2/3)50+100]}(0.56)=2.09.
Still requires 96% of total adult female population to attend. Alas, no angels! Thanks, cinepro.
Honestly, I'm pretty disappointed that they would claim millions watching when they know that isn't true. I haven't felt like this since I went to a monster truck rally when I was 11 and it wasn't the most awesome-awesome-awesome event in the history of Sacramento.
You just don't get over being lied to about something like that.
Lemmie wrote:Are you kidding? Or just joshing me?! I said it was quick and dirty, so I assumed the 0-12 group could stand in for the one minus 0-8 group.
But just for you, assuming the 0-12 group is distributed evenly:
5{1-[2/3)50]/[(2/3)50+100]}(0.56)=2.09.
Still requires 96% of total adult female population to attend. Alas, no angels! Thanks, cinepro.
Honestly, I'm pretty disappointed that they would claim millions watching when they know that isn't true. I haven't felt like this since I went to a monster truck rally when I was 11 and it wasn't the most awesome-awesome-awesome event in the history of Sacramento.
You just don't get over being lied to about something like that.
Aw...I feel for ya pal, all I can say is that an 11-year-old's perceived awesomeness of monster truck rallies is not a subject to which this board is devoted.
Last edited by Guest on Wed Sep 30, 2015 12:00 am, edited 1 time in total.
Lemmie wrote:My interest was caught by one commenter who called for a reference on the 'millions more watching by satellite.'
Just quick and dirty: >suppose 1/3 activity rate, so 15m X 1/3 = 5 million. >from BYU vital stats, children < 12 % ranges from 60 to 30 children per 100 adults, with the higher ratio concentrated where there are more members, so let's say there are 50 children per 150 total, or 1/3, therefore 5 million x 2/3 = 3.33 million. >as per Pew forum researchers, 56% of adult Mormons are female, 0.56 x 3.33 = 1.86 million women MAX who could be watching the conference.
Since the church reports 'millions' of women watching, this would mean more than every single adult active Mormon women in the world would have to be watching.
Maybe they count the (shoulders covered, wingless) angels they think they see.
Or is it that men are assigned to watch, to make sure the women get it right?
Is this an instance where the LDS treat 8, 9, 10 and 11 year olds better if they are girls rather than boys that must wait until age 12 to attend the general priesthood session?
Lemmie wrote:My interest was caught by one commenter who called for a reference on the 'millions more watching by satellite.'
Just quick and dirty: >suppose 1/3 activity rate, so 15m X 1/3 = 5 million. >from BYU vital stats, children < 12 % ranges from 60 to 30 children per 100 adults, with the higher ratio concentrated where there are more members, so let's say there are 50 children per 150 total, or 1/3, therefore 5 million x 2/3 = 3.33 million. >as per Pew forum researchers, 56% of adult Mormons are female, 0.56 x 3.33 = 1.86 million women MAX who could be watching the conference.
Since the church reports 'millions' of women watching, this would mean more than every single adult active Mormon women in the world would have to be watching.
Maybe they count the (shoulders covered, wingless) angels they think they see.
Or is it that men are assigned to watch, to make sure the women get it right?
Is this an instance where the LDS treat 8, 9, 10 and 11 year olds better if they are girls rather than boys that must wait until age 12 to attend the general priesthood session?
sock puppet wrote:Is this an instance where the LDS treat 8, 9, 10 and 11 year olds better if they are girls rather than boys that must wait until age 12 to attend the general priesthood session?
No. It's an instance where adult women have their own conference session with content designed for 8 year olds. The sisters are back in Primary.
“When we are confronted with evidence that challenges our deeply held beliefs we are more likely to reframe the evidence than we are to alter our beliefs. We simply invent new reasons, new justifications, new explanations. Sometimes we ignore the evidence altogether.” (Mathew Syed 'Black Box Thinking')
I have a question wrote:No. It's an instance where adult women have their own conference session with content designed for 8 year olds. The sisters are back in Primary.
And it's been that way for as long as I can remember, even before inviting the 8 year-olds.
Trimble, you ignorant sack of rhinoceros puss. The only thing more obvious than your lack of education is the foul stench that surrounds you.
