Water Dog wrote:Thanks. And link is bad, FYI.
Yeah, I noticed that and mentioned it to Morley in an earlier post. It isn't on Netflix anymore, either. I did find it for rent on Amazon Prime for $3 or something like that. I would say it's worth $3 and an hour-and-a-half of someone's time. But my tastes can be eclectic, too.
If the USA pulled out of NATO, there would be no NATO. What does that say?
I don't know. I do know the decades when there was a NATO withstood the threat of nuclear war and major powers failed to go head to head in modern combat for a period of time almost unprecedented in human history. So there's that.
Say the USA were to get attacked. China and Russia attack the western seaboard. I know, absurd, but go with me. What would our NATO allies do? They don't have the ability to even transport their personnel and equipment over here. Before having a discussion about how helpful they might be in a fight, they can't even get to the damn thing.
Poor, poor forgotten Canada.
Simply talking about raw assets, NATO military forces are really only of value in Europe.... with the exception of some Naval/Air support from the UK (who I included as being helpful). And they don't have the industrial capability to spin up assets in the course of a protracted conflict. Getting real, aside from the USA, everybody has similar problems. North Korea may have a million man army, but they can't move it anywhere, so who cares. South Korea may care, but why do we? So, at best, what good would our NATO allies be? They'd counter-attack Russia and form the basis for the European theater? Maybe? That is hard to fathom.
Strategically, NATO's greatest value is as a deterrent to Russian aggression, and it is highly successful as such. There's a reason that Putin is seeking to weaken it. One doesn't work to remove a paper tiger where a real tiger could come and take it's place. I think you're missing more than you realize.
Now, don't take that to mean I don't think we ought to reassess our military priorities and missions. And perhaps NATO needs to be restructured to fit the modern threat profile. But whatever that looks like, NATO countries have also provided for convenient places for us to operate bases and I don't think any global strategy that takes us out of those countries is foreseeable in the reasonable future. We're going to want to project power in that half of the world out of stable, reliable bases and that isn't happening out of Africa or the Middle East.
Moreover, at this point on the timeline of technological advancement, nobody can invade the continental United States without pre-emptive nuclear strikes. Does anyone disagree with that? Even if a naval force were assembled to transport a sufficiently large ground force (ROFL), we'd simply shoot it out of the water. Detonate a nuke right over the fleet in the middle of the pacific. The missile traveling at the speed of sound, how would they stop it? Game out any strategy you like, in a situation where the USA is under attack, it's infeasible to think of NATO members coming to our rescue in a meaningful way. They would be like pesky flies, easily swatted in the course of an attempt to attack the USA... were there an enemy strong enough to mount such an attack.
Ajax, did you read this?
There is no defensive argument for NATO, only an economic one. And when you consider things like OPEC, or Germany building pipelines to Russia, the economic argument becomes untenable. All these Russia conspiracies. It's nothing but a fight over money. Competing pipelines for both oil and natural gas. Russia wants to build a pipeline, Iran wants to build a pipeline, Qatar wants to build a pipeline. Debates over NATO and Syria, that's all it's about. Not defense. Money. Competition over a large customer base that resides in Europe.
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That's not true, man. We are positioned over there for more purposes than just Russia. How many of our wounded from Iraq and Afghanistan made it home because they could be quickly moved to Landstuhl in Germany? NATO extends American power and influence in ways that we apparently have integrated into our active mission. I don't think you're seeing the forest for the trees. In this case, the odd need to be on the opposite side of any issue that is perceived as liberal or anti-Trump.
And as I recall, that is where many of these threads started.