The Dow just logged its worst 2-day point slide in history — here are 5 reasons the stock market is tanking and it isn’t just the coronavirusThe S&P 500 has shed more than $1.7 trillion in value in the past two days
1. Fear of the COVID-19 disease infecting the U.S. is accelerating. The illness derived from the novel coronavirus, SARS-COV-2, which originated in Wuhan, China, in January is starting to affect global trade and travel and taking a bite out of confidence about earnings and economic growth.
2. Uncertainty about the U.S. 2020 presidential election outcome is also starting to drive markets, strategists and analysts argue. A number of them think that if Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders wins the Democratic presidential nomination, and possibly even the presidency, stocks could take a hit as he is perceived by some as an antibusiness candidate. “The risk to US stocks is pretty significant if Bernie gets the nomination,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst with OANDA.
3. Even before the markets slumped this week, the value of stocks has been viewed as rich. One measure of stock-market values, showed that the S&P 500 index was trading at 18.9 times the weighted aggregate consensus forward earnings estimate among analysts polled by MarketWatch. That is up from 16.2 a year ago, and, aside from a brief point early in 2018, it is the highest forward price-to-earnings, P/E, ratio for the benchmark index since May 2002.
4. Government bonds yields have been sliding steadily lower as investors seek safe havens given doubts about global economic growth in the wake of the coronavirus epidemic.
5. Bond investors fear that the coronavirus might result in a global economic slowdown which might wash up on U.S. shores as a full-fledged recession.
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