Will VA be like Florida or PA?

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Xenophon
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Xenophon »

If it helps, it sounds like McAuliffe is underperforimg by several different modelers that are generally pretty accurate. I'm curious if the election results are still fraudulent if Youngkin wins.
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Xenophon
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Xenophon »

Cultellus wrote:
Wed Nov 03, 2021 12:30 am
Xeno, what is the over under on Fairfax County counting the numbers? I think they will be last, and close the gap. Time wise though, what is your prediction? Today? Tomorrow?

By the way, Barris has R+ 1.5-2.0%

I think he is optimistic, but he was by far the closest to the actual numbers in swing states in 2020.
You'll have to ask Fairfax. As far as I'm aware they haven't explained what the delay is. Maybe we can ask the poll watchers?
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"A master in the art of living draws no sharp distinction between his work and his play, his labour and his leisure, his mind and his body, his education and his recreation." -L.P. Jacks
Cultellus

Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

Xenophon wrote:
Wed Nov 03, 2021 12:31 am
If it helps, it sounds like McAuliffe is underperforimg by several different modelers that are generally pretty accurate. I'm curious if the election results are still fraudulent if Youngkin wins.
I could not give less of a hoot on the outcome. Fraud is a strawman, we can go ahead and knock that one down together. Credibility in the process is what I like to watch, and Fairfax delaying is interesting on that front.

To your point.. Barris says that some counties are MUCH higher for Youngkin than they were for Trump. I have not seen the comparisons to a pre-pandemic election. Have you?
Cultellus

Re: Will VA be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

Pollsters calling it for Youngkin. Decision Desk just checked it.

I was wrong, but still amused.
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Doctor CamNC4Me »

Xenophon wrote:
Wed Nov 03, 2021 12:09 am
Maybe party leaders shouldn't tell their folks that voting by mail is so bad...
I guess rugged individualism doesn’t help when it comes to organizing one’s base.

- Doc
Cultellus

Re: Will VA be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

Barris just predicted an R sweep in VA.

Hmmmm. So what is Fairfax doing?
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Xenophon
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Xenophon »

Cultellus wrote:
Wed Nov 03, 2021 12:36 am
I could not give less of a hoot on the outcome. Fraud is a strawman, we can go ahead and knock that one down together. Credibility in the process is what I like to watch, and Fairfax delaying is interesting on that front.

To your point.. Barris says that some counties are MUCH higher for Youngkin than they were for Trump. I have not seen the comparisons to a pre-pandemic election. Have you?
Perhaps you couldn't, but I don't think that is a majority voice on fraud accusations. They generally appear to be results based accusations.

As to your question I'm not sure what you are asking, apologies for being dense. To maybe touch on it, that scenario I shared the tweet on above is looking a bit more likely. Some of those counties where Romney outpreformed are looking similar to current. Hard to tell though.

House of Delegates not looking favorable either. Bear in mind districting here is set to pre-census information which was more R than D favored.
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Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Xenophon »

https://www.fox5dc.com/news/fairfax-cou ... -locations

Some additional information on Fairfax delay.
He/Him

"A master in the art of living draws no sharp distinction between his work and his play, his labour and his leisure, his mind and his body, his education and his recreation." -L.P. Jacks
Cultellus

Re: Will Virginia be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

Xenophon wrote:
Wed Nov 03, 2021 1:17 am
https://www.fox5dc.com/news/fairfax-cou ... -locations

Some additional information on Fairfax delay.
Looks like there was a scanning issue with 20K votes. All from early voting locations. And all in Fairfax.

Suspicions are high but who cares. It is not relevant to the outcome. But it does matter for the process, and this is not the last we will hear about it.
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Re: Will VA be like Florida or PA?

Post by Cultellus »

All that TDS worked out great for VA. The Republicans swept it.

12 more months of Let's Go Brandon and we could hear the biggest flushing sound Washington D.C. has ever seen.
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