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DrW wrote:...
As an experienced professional scientist, I have learned to value greatly the explanatory power of a proffered hypothesis or theory. Once a theory or hypothesis is shown to be based on fact instead of feeling or faith, and after it has passed the the test of the possible (does not involve perpetual motion, for example) the next most important issue in evaluating hypotheses is their explanatory power. And Craig Criddle's hypotheses certainly do have explanatory power.
...
Along with that I'd also add in predictive power.
A theory that fairly consistently predicts what future discoveries
will entail is a compelling explanation of things.
Every now and then we make a new historical discovery. It might
be something so simple as a line in an old diary or letter that
had not been previously transcribed. Or it might be a document
out of the public records, a newspaper article, or the fact that
two historical personages shared a common teacher, or ancestor,
or neighbor.
All things being equal, we might expect these sorts of discoveries,
when encountered, to add no more weight to one authorship
speculation than to some other guess at who wrote the book.
But perhaps "all things" are not equal -- because the authorship
theory that Craig Criddle proposes predicts that the types of
discoveries I just mentioned will point to Spalding, Rigdon, Pratt
or Cowdery, as having hitherto unknown connections to the
Book of Mormon text and/or its coming forth.
Each time I notice some new tidbit of early Mormonism discovered,
I look to see if it points to some particular person, as having an
involvement in the production of the Book of Mormon. If "all things"
truly were equal, we might expect such discoveries to favor no
particular early Mormon as a probable author/conspirator. But
that is not what I am seeing.
In Criddle's current unfolding of the Spalding-Rigdon authorship
explanation, he cites a couple of dozen new historical facts. Each
one, viewed alone and by itself, does not indicate much -- but
taken together, as a whole, they all tend to support the S-R thesis.
And Criddle predicts that most future discoveries pertaining to
Mormon origins and the earliest Mormons will follow this pattern.
I ask the professors of the Smith-did-it-all-by-himself authorship
theory to point out a dozen or so recent historical discoveries
that support their view of Mormon origins.
UD