Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump ????? Hillary or Bernie?

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_Kevin Graham
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _Kevin Graham »

Perhaps that explains the work ethic I see demonstrated by millennials


You don't "see" anything and I doubt that you even know any millennials. You just sit around and let your small mind get filled up with Brietbart drivel all day. The "millennial is lazy" theory is just myth. From Fortune Magazine, advising entrepreneurs on hiring:

5 myths about millennials in the workplace

The Economist provided the same debunking of that myth:

Businesses should beware of dubious generalisations about younger workers

Frankly I get a giggle every time old farts who talk about the glory days of old, pretend that they had it rougher than today's millennials. My step dad is one of them. He dropped out of the military after 4 years, climbed telephone poles for ten years before finally deciding to get his college degree at age 36. All of this he did even though going to school was especially cheap back then. If he were born 40 years later he'd probably still be without a degree and climbing telephone poles.
_Doctor CamNC4Me
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _Doctor CamNC4Me »

I don't really get why Ajax is so pissed off. From what I gather he has a good career, makes decent money, and probably has a decent lifestyle. Why all the vitriol?

- Doc
In the face of madness, rationality has no power - Xiao Wang, US historiographer, 2287 AD.

Every record...falsified, every book rewritten...every statue...has been renamed or torn down, every date...altered...the process is continuing...minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Ideology is always right.
_Some Schmo
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _Some Schmo »

Doctor CamNC4Me wrote:I don't really get why Ajax is so pissed off. From what I gather he has a good career, makes decent money, and probably has a decent lifestyle. Why all the vitriol?

- Doc

Nobody wants to pay taxes less than he does, yet he's the only one doing it.

That's what you'd think reading his posts, anyway.
God belief is for people who don't want to live life on the universe's terms.
_Doctor CamNC4Me
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _Doctor CamNC4Me »

That's so odd. I feel proud to contribute because if I/we slack on taxes everything goes to crap. I don't get his mindset.

- Doc
In the face of madness, rationality has no power - Xiao Wang, US historiographer, 2287 AD.

Every record...falsified, every book rewritten...every statue...has been renamed or torn down, every date...altered...the process is continuing...minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Ideology is always right.
_subgenius
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _subgenius »

Kevin Graham wrote:debunking
.

Um, I don't think you are using this word correctly. The articles you posted were a commentary. ..that had no actual evidence to "debunk" anything, just the author basically starting an opinion based on being contrary.

Bet your stepdaughter laughs at you to...but more of a pity laugh as opposed to your arrogant laugh.
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
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_EAllusion
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _EAllusion »

Kevin Graham wrote:
Anyone who thinks a guy who went to the Soviet Union and Cuba during the cold war and advocated for how great they were is going to have an easy time in a general campaign has drank the kool aid. That's not to dismiss him, as I think he'd still win as well. But he'd have a much harder time than his supporters here seem to think.


Not that much harder. I mean their #1 issue is his "Socialism" and that was already played out against Obama and didn't work. And this came from folks who genuinely hated Socialism whereas Trump will be in no position whatsoever to criticize Sanders for promoting socialistic ideas. After all, he admires Canada's health care system, he also supports the Buffeft rule in which wealthier folks should pay more taxes, and he doesn't think wealthy people should get social security.

Then you have the fact that numerous prominent Republican figures have come out and praised Sanders for being genuine and honest. Only 4% of Republicans and 35% of Independents think Hillary is honest and trustworthy, compared to 37% (R) and 56% (I) for Sanders. Bernie also has a 5 point lead among Democrats as well.

So if Trump wants to flip the table and suddenly go after Sanders' character, well, good luck with that. To this day the only thing I've seen against Sanders that could remotely be construed as a knock against his character is his presumed intentions to "steal" the election by persuading superdelegates to change their minds "no matter what."
There are some misunderstandings here.

1) Obama isn't a socialist. He isn't anywhere near the radical Marxist he's sometimes portrayed to be on the right. The fact that Sanders is legitmately friendly with far leftwing ideas might play differently. One criticism is true. The other is not.

2) Just because Obama won elections doesn't mean negative attacks didn't work. It just means they didn't work enough to cause him to lose an election all other things considered. To wit, Hillary Clinton is still soundly beating Trump in polls. Does this mean negative attacks aren't working? Probably not. She has high negatives and the perpetual negative campaign against her probably plays some role in that. It just means they aren't working enough. Remember, all anyone here is saying is that if Sanders was facing the full fury of the Republican attack machine instead of Clinton, maybe his head-to-head numbers would be similar to or even worse that Clinton's. This is realistic and you can't test the counterfactual.

3) You continue to seem to believe that the right-wing media's attack machine needs to be based in honest criticism. The biggest harm to John Kerry's campaign as far as negative attacks were concerned was the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth. That this was dishonest propaganda didn't stop it from having some impact. In fact, it probably cost him the election because of how close it otherwise was. Don't think Sanders can't be Swiftboated (or Benghazi'ed if you prefer) if Republican campaigners are so inclined.

4) Republicans have been relatively handsoffish, and in some cases downright friendly, to Sanders precisely because they rightly or wrongly perceive this to be strategically advantageous to them either to draw-out the campaign against Clinton from the left and/or because they'd prefer to run against Sanders.

5) You just bloody watched people who used the absolute harshest language possible in condemning certain Republican candidates turn around and back them when the time became convenient. So yes, absolutely, Republicans can completely flip their criticism of Sanders and have it be transparently hypocritical and also oddly effective. But even if not, honesty isn't the only area a politician gets criticized on. You're not thinking clearly if a radical socialist Jew from Vermont has nothing the Republicans can work with if they want to. They've been remarkably stand-offish.

6) I feel like if we just started naming some character assaults Republicans could try to bring Sanders down a peg or two with, for example portraying him as a pervy old man, you'll just angrily attempt to debunk it. Until you get #3, I don't think any of these other points actually matter. It's as though you can't help but conflate why you prefer Sanders over Clinton with what's actually going on the right, which also is a heavy dose of stuff like this:

http://www.vox.com/2016/5/10/11650098/d ... d-red-pill
_subgenius
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _subgenius »

EAllusion wrote: To wit, Hillary Clinton is still soundly beating Trump in polls.

"To wit", you should keep your opinion current:

"Clinton campaign scares supporters with poll showing Trump beating her in Ohio"
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/pos ... r-in-ohio/

"Republican Donald Trump pulled even with Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Wednesday"
http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/trump-c ... id/728353/

"Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the likely general election presidential nominees, are running neck-and-neck in the battleground states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, results driven by wide gender and racial gaps among voters, a new general election poll shows."
http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/10/politics/ ... index.html

"Poll: Trump even with Clinton nationally"
http://hotair.com/archives/2016/05/11/p ... ationally/

"Poll: Trump, Clinton in statistical tie"
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/pre ... stical-tie
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
_EAllusion
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _EAllusion »

To wit", you should keep your opinion current:


You're cherry picking outlier polls subgenius, though I like how you posted several links to stories referencing the exact same poll.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -5491.html

Clinton is ahead by 6.4, which is a very large lead, in RCP's average of polls, which the most recent poll by PPP being near exactly that.

Trump should theoretically get a bump relative to Clinton in the near-term because he's consolodating Republican support and Clinton is still in a primary stage. Historically, this has always favored someone in Trump's position in the polls, but that bump has no predictive value on the outcome in November. Though, for now, my assertion is correct.
_Kevin Graham
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _Kevin Graham »

Multiple links to the same poll doesn't make multiple polls.

Your link even admits that, "The RCP average of polls shows Clinton with a 6.4% lead over Trump."
_subgenius
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Re: Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary or Bern

Post by _subgenius »

Kevin Graham wrote:Multiple links to the same poll doesn't make multiple polls.

Your link even admits that, "The RCP average of polls shows Clinton with a 6.4% lead over Trump."

well, if on this thread you attempted to depart fro your usual cursory understanding of what was going on you would have easily recognized that my response was a dispute of the poster's claim of "soundly beating"....an average of 6% from RCP doth a sound beating not make...after all Hillary has been anywhere from 9% to 11% ahead of Bernie in the polls...twice as much as you claim here...
Yet, last week Hilary was about 13% ahead of Trump....and now the gap has been cut in half...again, hardly cause for a current claim of "soundly beating"

(but i can understand your protest in that you are still butt-hurt over Bernie's sound beating)
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
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