krose wrote:Romney wants no part of that two-man race, which makes this year strange. Usually the front runner is anxious for others to drop out, but Romney needs Gingrich to stay in to split the far-right vote. Even if this four-way keeps him from clinching the thing before the convention, at least it prevents him from losing it altogether.
If Gingrich had pulled out before last week, Santorum would probably win the nomination. Newt's casino sugar-daddy wants Romney to get the nomination, now that he knows his guy won't, so he continues to fund Newt's extended book promotion tour just to keep Santorum at bay.
Interesting analysis! Your probably right. If Newt really hated Romney so much (that's the popular conjecture) he would have dropped out two weeks ago and given Santorum his votes. Politics is a strange business.
I don't think Newt hates anyone remotely as much as he loves Newt, especially the sound of his voice.
I would love to see Santorum win the nomination. He would lose badly in November, and perhaps the Republican party mouthpieces (Limbaugh, et al) would finally give up on the silly notion that the reason their candidates lose is because they are not stridently conservative enough. Okay, they wouldn't. But at least they would be shown to have no credibility, and the party just might back away a little from the right fringe and inch back toward the center.
"The DNA of fictional populations appears to be the most susceptible to extinction." - Simon Southerton
Alabama and Mississippi have always worn their prejudice on their sleeves. Now if the rest of the Bible Belt can toe the line, the Mormon can be sent packing.
Alabama and Mississippi have always worn their prejudice on their sleeves. Now if the rest of the Bible Belt can toe the line, the Mormon can be sent packing.
Sad but true.
And when the confederates saw Jackson standing fearless as a stone wall the army of Northern Virginia took courage and drove the federal army off their land.
Alabama and Mississippi have always worn their prejudice on their sleeves. Now if the rest of the Bible Belt can toe the line, the Mormon can be sent packing.
Romney actually increased his lead slightly yesterday.
After Tuesday votes in Mississippi, Alabama, Hawaii and American Samoa: DELEGATES WON 41 Romney 35 Santorum 24 Gingrich 1 Paul
Missouri, Illinois, and Louisiana coming up shortly. Similar states; perhaps similar results. I notice Romney has lock on California and leads in Texas.
If you examine the delegate numbers ahead, it's now even less likely that Bishop Romney will get to 1144 before the convention. The increasing strength of Rick "birth control is not okay" Santorum makes that almost certain.
On the positive side for him, he actually broke through his southern-state ceiling of 28% last night, garnering 29% and 31% in his third-place finishes. Can't you just feel the Mitt-mentum?
His best bet is still to do everything possible to keep Newt in the race and count on sewing up the nomination in a contested convention, based solely on the basis of being ahead at that time.
"The DNA of fictional populations appears to be the most susceptible to extinction." - Simon Southerton
Despite that, the Obama camp knows that if the election were held today, Obama would lose to Romney most and Santorum second. And so they're attempting to "talk it down" much in the same manner as you see krose doing above.
Who in the "Obama camp" has been talking down Romney's chances of getting the nomination? I haven't seen it. They are clearly expecting and preparing for him. Of course they are happy to see the opposition spending all their money and energy beating up on each other as long as possible.
As for the "held today" polls, I consistently see Obama beating every Republican by varying margins, although it's sometimes within the margin of error. A Pew poll today has him beating Romney by 12 points and Santorum by 18. The usual margins have been around four to seven points, and occasionally a toss up.
"The DNA of fictional populations appears to be the most susceptible to extinction." - Simon Southerton