A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His Term

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_Brackite
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _Brackite »

If Democrats take over the House of Representatives in 2019, they will very likely vote to Impeach him. But will there be enough People within the Senate to vote to remove him from office??? Probably not since that would require two-thirds of the Senate. And is there any way that Congress can get him to resign without Impeaching him and trying to remove him from office??? Whatever happens during the next three years and eight months of Trump's term, I very much doubt that he will be the 2020 GOP Nominee.
"And I've said it before, you want to know what Joseph Smith looked like in Nauvoo, just look at Trump." - Fence Sitter
_EAllusion
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _EAllusion »

subgenius wrote:BUMP for the wager

I'm all for wagers, but I'd like to do a different one.

I do not believe that Trump will finish out 8 years. Be it failing to be reelected, impeachment, death, or something else, I do not think he makes it two full terms. Want to take that bet?
_Jersey Girl
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _Jersey Girl »

EAllusion wrote:
subgenius wrote:BUMP for the wager

I'm all for wagers, but I'd like to do a different one.

I do not believe that Trump will finish out 8 years. Be it failing to be reelected, impeachment, death, or something else, I do not think he makes it two full terms. Want to take that bet?


He'll be doing good (sort of) to finish out one term.
Failure is not falling down but refusing to get up.
Chinese Proverb
_subgenius
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _subgenius »

EAllusion wrote:
subgenius wrote:BUMP for the wager

I'm all for wagers, but I'd like to do a different one.

I do not believe that Trump will finish out 8 years. Be it failing to be reelected, impeachment, death, or something else, I do not think he makes it two full terms. Want to take that bet?

nope, he is certainly a one-term President, and not for the reasons you might suspect.

but 4 year wager is still available
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
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what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
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_subgenius
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _subgenius »

subgenius wrote:BUMP for the wager

Image
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
_The CCC
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _The CCC »

AmyJo wrote:How bout we wager he's right and you're wrong? What's it worth to you?

Your marbles v. his brains? :lol:


Wagering on this is kinda like wagering on if it is the dog who wins when it catches the car.
_EAllusion
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _EAllusion »

subgenius wrote:nope, he is certainly a one-term President, and not for the reasons you might suspect.

but 4 year wager is still available

I think he has not especially good odds of living through 2024 and when you combine that with the evenish odds of reelection, and the more remote odds of removal from office, pressured resignation, or unforced stepping down due to dementia, job dissatisfaction, etc. his actual odds of being an 8 year president are low enough that it'd be unwise to bet on him making it.

Glad you agree. Of course you have to dress up your agreement in some mock secret wisdom, but if that's what it takes, knock yourself out.
_subgenius
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _subgenius »

EAllusion wrote:
subgenius wrote:nope, he is certainly a one-term President, and not for the reasons you might suspect.

but 4 year wager is still available

I think he has not especially good odds of living through 2024 and when you combine that with the evenish odds of reelection, and the more remote odds of removal from office, pressured resignation, or unforced stepping down due to dementia, job dissatisfaction, etc. his actual odds of being an 8 year president are low enough that it'd be unwise to bet on him making it.

Glad you agree. Of course you have to dress up your agreement in some mock secret wisdom, but if that's what it takes, knock yourself out.

once again you have to insist that you know what is "really going on"....what things "really mean"

and yes, unconsciousness is the best manner by which to entertain your reasoning
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
_EAllusion
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Re: A Presidential Historian Predicts Trump Won't Last His T

Post by _EAllusion »

subgenius wrote:once again you have to insist that you know what is "really going on"....what things "really mean"

and yes, unconsciousness is the best manner by which to entertain your reasoning
Yep, contrary to the rest of the world, you are possession of knowledge that makes it a certainty that Trump will not have another term, but you won't condescend by sharing the reasons you perceive that others do not. Also, you can read people's minds, but don't ask what I'm thinking, cause you don't wanna tell.
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