November Election Thread

[_Doctor CamNC4Me]

Feel free to post what you care to share regarding your votes on politicians, propositions, and everything in between.

So, my mail-in ballot starting from the left side working down the column:

Straight Party (optional)

- I didn't check one.

Federal (US Senate)

- Mitt Romney(R), I selected him because he's demonstrated good governance, and is better connected than his challenger. I felt he'd be better at getting Utah those sweet, sweet debt-dollars from DC.

US Rep (District 2)

- Shireen Ghorbani(D), I selected her because ohmygod Christ Stewart. If there's ever an argument against/for gerrymandering this is it. This is how Republicans ensure Utah never sends a Democrat to Congress.

State Rep (District 23)

- Sandra Hollins(D), I selected her because she's a Black woman.

County Council (At Large)

- Jim Bradley(D), I selected him because he's a Democrat.

County Council (District 1)

- I selected the only person running which happens to be a Democrat.

District Attorney

- Sim Gill(D), I selected him because he's a Democrat, but if I'm being truly honest I was won over by his political signage. Very classy, very old school cool. I love it, and the fact he didn't pander to us using red, white, and blue.

https://Twitter.com/hashtag/walkaway?re ... %5Ehashtag

Also, this is something I felt was important:

https://www.sltrib.com/pb/opinion/comme ... rosecutors

Second column starting at the top:

Auditor, Clerk, Recorder, and Sheriff: Democrat

Judges:

I won't bore you with details, but there were three where I voted against retaining them as judges.

State Questions, Constitutional Amendments:

I won't bore you with the details, but is was 'for', 'for', and 'for'

Non-binding Question #1:

Gas tax increase of .10 for education? I voted 'for'.

Prop 2

Weed? 'for'

Prop 3

Expand Medicaid? 'for'

Prop 4

Create a 7-member commission to un-fuck our congressional districts? 'for'

Local Question:

Streets reconstruction bond? I voted for the issuance of bonds.

-------------------------------

If for no other reason other than to show our support of and active engagement in our democratic process please feel free to share. And, of course, no worries if you don't.

- Doc

[_Maksutov]

Almost identical.

[_Doctor CamNC4Me]

https://www.reddit.com/r/SaltLakeCity/c ... s_and_175/

That's a good thread on gerrymandering, and why I voted for creating a commission that will hopefully create a redistricting recommendation our elected officials will implement. I think it's worth a read!

- Doc

[_Water Dog]

Thanks for not raping us, all you ‘good men.’ But it’s not enough.

The article literally starts out,

I yelled at my husband last night.

Here we go.

Not pick-up-your-socks yell. Not how-could-you-ignore-that-red-light yell. This was real yelling. This was 30 minutes of from-the-gut yelling. Triggered by a small, thoughtless, dismissive, annoyed, patronizing comment. Really small. A micro-wave that triggered a hurricane. I blew. Hard and fast. And it terrified me. I’m still terrified by what I felt and what I said.

Perhaps she's about to speak against the crazy?

I announced that I hate all men and wish all men were dead.

No, doesn't look like it.

I said the meanest thing I’ve ever said to him: Don’t you dare sit there and sympathetically promise to change. Don’t say you will stop yourself before you blurt out some impatient, annoyed, controlling remark. No, I said, you can’t change. You are unable to change. You don’t have the skills and you won’t do it. You, I said, are one of the good men. You respect women, you believe in women, you like women, you don’t hit women or rape women or in any way abuse women. You have applauded and funded feminism for a half-century. You are one of the good men. And you cannot change. You can listen all you want, but that will not create one iota of change.

Tell him how you really feel.

And, for some reason, the most chilling memory of all, the one Christine Blasey Ford called up and that we all recognized: the laughter. The laughter of men who are bonding with each other by mocking us.

I am laughing right now, that much is true.

No man right now understands the flood that is rushing through women’s brains...

Finally something I can agree with! If only she could follow that thought to its logical conclusion, but I digress.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/ ... edirect=on

[_Doctor CamNC4Me]

wut.

[_Water Dog]

Stark political divide points to a split decision in midterm elections

The divide in American politics is so stark that analysts are beginning to predict something that seldom happens: One party could make big gains in the House while the other adds seats in the Senate.

Not since 1970 has a midterm election provided such a split verdict, and only two other presidential elections, in 1996 and 1972, have demonstrated such division in congressional elections.

...

Charlie Cook, the independent analyst and founder of the Cook Political Report, called the Kavanaugh nomination process “a color enhancement event.” It positioned Democrats to perform even better in the metropolitan areas and Republicans to make gains in the exurban-rural regions.

“It made the reds redder and the blues bluer,” Cook wrote.

https://www.wvgazettemail.com/news/poli ... 1fdb8.html

[_Doctor CamNC4Me]

For any Utah types who haven't voted yet and want information on the propositions:




- Doc

[_Water Dog]

Everybody see where this is headed? I have no idea if Ds will take the House or not. I'm not persuaded that is actually true, polls have been wrong before. But assuming they are right, or that ballet box stuffing or whatever in corrupt urban areas will lead to the same result, here's what I predict.

Split decision. Ds take House. Relief Society keep Senate. Ds, empowered by the gavel, and led by some nag, probably Pelosi, will proceed to do their unhinged thing. It will be all the insanity of the past two years, times ten. More division. More violence. More rhetoric. The House will impeach Trump. The Senate will roll its eyes. The media will howl. The markets will be a rollercoaster in response. More and more people will defect from Blue to Red.

The House will break with all sorts of decorum and convention. They'll launch political witch hunt investigations. Engage in border-line criminal behavior like getting Trump's tax returns. Not learning anything from Harry Reid, they'll engineer their own destruction when the House swings back to Republican in 2020. Their behavior will ensure Trump wins reelection. And that Republicans take House back.

[_subgenius]

There is a good chance Repubs remain control of both House and Senate. The only "success" with Democrats will be among their fringe elements thus fueling their further self-destructing hair fire, resulting in an implosion that shatters Democratic hopes in 2020.

[_Brackite]

There is a good chance Repubs remain control of both House and Senate. The only "success" with Democrats will be among their fringe elements thus fueling their further self-destructing hair fire, resulting in an implosion that shatters Democratic hopes in 2020.

The Democrats are likely going to take back the House. According to 538, the Democrats now have a 81.7% chance of taking back the House. Link

538 now has Democrat Abby Finkenauer with a 96.7% chance of winning Iowa 1st Congressional district. Link

538 now has Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick with a 96.4% chance of winning the Arizona's 2nd Congressional district. Link

538 now has Democrat Mike Levin with a 95% chance of winning California's 49th Congressional district. Link


According to 538, the Republicans now have a 80.7% chance of keeping the Senate. Link

538 now has Republican Kevin Cramer with a 66.4% chance of defeating Incumbent Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp. Link

I do think that Senator Heitkamp will lose her reelection bid. North Dakota is a much redder state now than it was back in 2012. Back in 2012, Heitkamp just barely won her Senate election while Romney won North Dakota by about 20 percentage points. In 2016, Trump won North Dakota by as much as 36 percentage points. The Democrats unable to win that Senate race in North Dakota will make it basically impossible for the Democrats to take back the Senate this election.

538 now has Nevada GOP Senator Dean Heller with a 58.9% of winning his reelection bid. Link

538 now has Arizona Democrat Kyrsten Sinema with a 64.3% of winning her Senate election. Link

While I will be voting for Kyrsten Sinema for Senate, I don't really agree with 538 with Sinema having that high of a percentage chance of her winning. I would put Sinema's chances of winning this Arizona Senate race at about 55%. And Romney was recently in Arizona here to help get out the Mormon vote for Republican Martha McSally.

538 now has Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly with a 78.3% chance of winning his reelection bid. Link