Conversation with my mom

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_bcspace
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Post by _bcspace »

I just find it tedious. AntiMormons leave trails so convoluted in this area that all it takes are just a few rabbit holes where you find out that the criticism is yellow journalistic or nothing to worry about for one to become bored.

Um... I don't know about you, but this post could best be described as "so convoluted" that I feel like I did just fall down a rabbit hole trying to make sense of what you said.


Are you lacking in erudition?

So tell us, bcspace. . . Did Joseph use a peep stone to look for buried treasures in the earth, or didn't he?


How many people use dowsing to find the best place to dig a well today? In other words, it wouldn't bother me if he did.
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_Chap
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Post by _Chap »

bcspace wrote:
So tell us, bcspace. . . Did Joseph use a peep stone to look for buried treasures in the earth, or didn't he?


How many people use dowsing to find the best place to dig a well today? In other words, it wouldn't bother me if he did.


If I understand bcspace correctly, he is intending us to deduce that he thinks dowsing is a good way to find the best place to dig a well (he will no doubt correct me if I am wrong).

In other words, he believes that dowsing is a procedure that is able to locate useful amounts of subterranean water with a level of success that is significantly greater than chance - or to put it more crudely, he believes it works.

He then (do I have this right?) extends the discussion to seeking for buried objects using a 'peep stone', and assimilates this procedure to dowsing. Joseph Smith was therefore a 'dowser' and since bcspace believes that dowsing works, he believes that Joseph Smith was not cheating people when he claimed to be able to find buried treasure using a 'peep stone', but was practising a useful skill that gave practically useful results.

[Again, I am open to correction at any step of the above].

Now I think bcspace's argument fails, since despite a long, long history of claims to the contrary there is no evidence that dowsers who rely on dowsing alone produce results any better than chance.

Consider for instance this study, which was supported by Grant BNS 93-13038 from the National Science Foundation: see http://csicop.org/si/9901/dowsing.html for the whole article. Note particularly the sentence bolded below, which shows that people whose job includes locating water for the government wrote off dowsing as long ago as 1917. Anyway, here is the conclusion:


Conclusion
The Munich dowsing experiments represent the most extensive test ever conducted of the hypothesis that a genuine mysterious ability permits dowsers to detect hidden water sources. The research was conducted in a sympathetic atmosphere, on a highly selected group of candidates, with careful control of many relevant variables. The researchers themselves concluded that the outcome unquestionably demonstrated successful dowsing abilities, but a thoughtful re-examination of the data indicates that such an interpretation can only be regarded as the result of wishful thinking. In fact, it is difficult to imagine a set of experimental results that would represent a more persuasive disproof of the ability of dowsers to do what they claim. The experiments thus can and should be considered a decisive failure by the dowsers.

It seems very unlikely that any future careful experimental study of dowsing will produce results more favorable for the practitioners than the Munich experiments. An atmosphere more sympathetic to the dowsers, with so many concessions to their whims, seems hard to imagine. In view of the outcome of those experiments, it is very unlikely that any sponsor would ever provide funds for an even larger-scale study, such that very weak skills (which might conceivably have vanished into the statistical noise here) could be uncovered. (It is noteworthy that the U.S. Geological Survey concluded much earlier [Ellis 1917] that further testing of dowsing " . . .would be a misuse of public funds.") It seems appropriate, then, to reiterate here the general conclusion originally drawn from these analyses (Enright 1995):

(These) . . . experiments are not only the most extensive and careful scientific study of the dowsing problem ever attempted, but -- if reason prevails -- they probably also represent the last major study of this sort that will ever be undertaken. (Enright 1995, 369).

Because of the vigor, however, with which Professor Betz and colleagues defended their positive conclusions (Betz et al. 1996), and in view of the discouraging history of other claims about the occult, one may have residual doubts, as do I, about whether reason will prevail in this arena (Enright 1996).


But of course the real knock-down blow to this baseless pseudoskill (for it is no more than that) is the fact that any dowser who could demonstrate his abilities reliably could win a million dollars!

See http://randi.org/research/index.html

No-one has ever managed to win, despite the opportunity to demonstrate their skills under any reasonably fair and objective conditions.

Dowsing is rubbish. If Joseph Smith practiced anything like it, he was either a fraud or a dupe.
_Ten Bear
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Post by _Ten Bear »

bcspace wrote:
I just find it tedious. AntiMormons leave trails so convoluted in this area that all it takes are just a few rabbit holes where you find out that the criticism is yellow journalistic or nothing to worry about for one to become bored.

Um... I don't know about you, but this post could best be described as "so convoluted" that I feel like I did just fall down a rabbit hole trying to make sense of what you said.


Are you lacking in erudition?

So tell us, bcspace. . . Did Joseph use a peep stone to look for buried treasures in the earth, or didn't he?


How many people use dowsing to find the best place to dig a well today? In other words, it wouldn't bother me if he did.


Does our Prophet today use a dowsing rod? Did he use one before he was called of God? Worse, does our Prophet today accept money to tell other people where to dig for buried treasure? That would bother me. It would bother you.
"If False, it is one of the most cunning, wicked, bold, deep-laid impositions ever palmed upon the world, calculated to deceive and ruin millions… " - Orson Pratt on The Book of Mormon
_SatanWasSetUp
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Post by _SatanWasSetUp »

Chap wrote:Dowsing is rubbish. If Joseph Smith practiced anything like it, he was either a fraud or a dupe.


Even if dowsing worked (of course it doesn't but let's pretend) it is a huge leap to say since dowsing to find water works, using a rock in a hat to find buried treasure must also work. That's like arguing that since I found colored eggs scattered around my back yard Easter morning, it proves the Easter bunny is real, and since the Easter Bunny is real, Santa must be real too. Therefore colored eggs appearing in my backyard = Santa Claus is real. It's a big leap in logic.
"We of this Church do not rely on any man-made statement concerning the nature of Deity. Our knowledge comes directly from the personal experience of Joseph Smith." - Gordon B. Hinckley

"It's wrong to criticize leaders of the Mormon Church even if the criticism is true." - Dallin H. Oaks
_Pokatator
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Post by _Pokatator »

Chap wrote:But of course the real knock-down blow to this baseless pseudoskill (for it is no more than that) is the fact that any dowser who could demonstrate his abilities reliably could win a million dollars!

See http://randi.org/research/index.html

No-one has ever managed to win, despite the opportunity to demonstrate their skills under any reasonably fair and objective conditions.

Dowsing is rubbish. If Joseph Smith practiced anything like it, he was either a fraud or a dupe.


Hi Chap, here is a link to go with James Randi and dowsing.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOsCnX-TKIY
I think it would be morally right to lie about your religion to edit the article favorably.
bcspace
_Dr. Shades
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Post by _Dr. Shades »

bcspace wrote:
So tell us, bcspace. . . Did Joseph use a peep stone to look for buried treasures in the earth, or didn't he?


How many people use dowsing to find the best place to dig a well today? In other words, it wouldn't bother me if he did.


In other words, "yes." So your statement that "AntiMormons leave trails so convoluted in this area that all it takes are just a few rabbit holes where you find out that the criticism is yellow journalistic or nothing to worry about for one to become bored" is nothing more than baseless dissembling on your part.
"Finally, for your rather strange idea that miracles are somehow linked to the amount of gay sexual gratification that is taking place would require that primitive Christianity was launched by gay sex, would it not?"

--Louis Midgley
_Who Knows
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Post by _Who Knows »

Pokatator wrote:
Chap wrote:Dowsing is rubbish. If Joseph Smith practiced anything like it, he was either a fraud or a dupe.


Hi Chap, here is a link to go with James Randi and dowsing.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOsCnX-TKIY


The real question, for me, is whether these guys actually believe that it works? Or are they in on the scam? The former would be kinda forgivable, but the latter, is outright fraud (which i think is the case with Joseph Smith).
WK: "Joseph Smith asserted that the Book of Mormon peoples were the original inhabitants of the americas"
Will Schryver: "No, he didn’t." 3/19/08
Still waiting for Will to back this up...
_Chap
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Post by _Chap »

Pokatator wrote:
Chap wrote:But of course the real knock-down blow to this baseless pseudoskill (for it is no more than that) is the fact that any dowser who could demonstrate his abilities reliably could win a million dollars!

See http://randi.org/research/index.html

No-one has ever managed to win, despite the opportunity to demonstrate their skills under any reasonably fair and objective conditions.

Dowsing is rubbish. If Joseph Smith practiced anything like it, he was either a fraud or a dupe.


Hi Chap, here is a link to go with James Randi and dowsing.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOsCnX-TKIY


Thanks - that (and the others) are just about what I would have expected. I am afraid that self-deception is not difficult. There is a kind of two-way consciousness split involved: one half does the work to maintain the deception, while the other half believes implicitly in what the first half tells it.

If things work out well, the first half can ease off, and the second half goes over to full-time belief. And once you have deceived yourself, deceiving others is all too easy.

Joseph Smith seems to have been an excellent example of someone who went through this process mutiple times.
_beastie
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Post by _beastie »

Wow. I'm an author with an impact!!! ;)
We hate to seem like we don’t trust every nut with a story, but there’s evidence we can point to, and dance while shouting taunting phrases.

Penn & Teller

http://www.mormonmesoamerica.com
_Scottie
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Post by _Scottie »

bcspace wrote:How many people use dowsing to find the best place to dig a well today? In other words, it wouldn't bother me if he did.

Well, obviously it bothered my mom enough that she refused to believe he did.

Apparently, if this were true, it would paint Joseph Smith in a bad enough light that her testimony would be fractured. Better to deny any negative light on Joseph Smith and save your testimony than to face a possible testimony-breaking truth.
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