DrW wrote: ↑Thu Apr 01, 2021 7:07 pm
Apologies in advance, but your science analogy in no way applies to the situation at hand. I performed no experiment. I obtained no data that are to be evaluated. Why not just start with the idea that a scientist should be a skeptic? The job here is to evaluate the
assertions of others, presented without evidence, that are nonetheless intended to be taken as fact.
And, in this case, we are talking about the assertions of - shall we speak baldly? - the one true prophet on the face of the earth, (or if one prefers to put it in a merely terrestrial sense -in keeping with the spirit of this Terrestrial Forum - one who is president of a multi-billion dollar non-profit). I agree with you that such a person's statements should be no more "hands-off" than that of any other public leader.
DrW wrote: ↑Thu Apr 01, 2021 7:07 pm
As a former owner of two aircraft and holder of a commercial pilot's license with twin engine and instrument ratings, and working on my second million miles with Delta, I have more aviation experience than most. With others, I have disassembled, repaired, painted, reassembled and test flown aircraft. Over the years I have lost four colleagues in two light aircraft accidents, one from my flying club and three from work.
Your opinion, for me, carries some weight in this matter
DrW wrote: ↑Thu Apr 01, 2021 7:07 pm
I understand that an inflight engine fire on a passenger-carrying aircraft in commercial service resulting in a forced landing not at an airport is not something that happens without leaving a trace in the public record, or at least in contemporary memory of others involved. Yet when I enter the search string <Russell Nelson LDS aircraft accident > all that comes up are different versions of the same story as told by Nelson or his biographers. Others here have tried to corroborate the story and have spent a long time looking for supporting evidence. What has been found, especially SkyWest route map from the mid-1970s, casts serious doubt on the story.
As time goes different versions of the Rusty story seem to proliferate: turbulence to an engine fire, to an aircraft engulfed in flames, to landing in a field, to landing at an airport. In its retelling and embellishment, it has taken on the status of folklore.
This is a problem. Few will ever forget the first time they heard, and then saw, a rattlesnake. It is well understood that the sudden shot of adrenaline that activates the fight or flight response also helps potentiate long term memory. There is an evolutionary benefit to remembering what a rattlesnake sounds like and where they are found. It is unlikely that one would misremember the rattlesnake encountered on a mountain trail as being in their back yard, or that the rattlesnake was really a cobra.
I remember as a kid playing in the hills of Canyon Country, CA, when I threw a rock at a rattlesnake that was lounging near the base of a yucca bush. I missed the snake but I remember its tail and head immediately shot up and its beady little eyes locked onto mine and its rattle was shaking so fast that the sound of it was a continual hisssssssssssssssssss. I would not exactly call it a life-changing event, but I high-tailed it away, none the less. (I am pretty sure that it didn't happen near a rose bush in Delta Utah, or St. George, and that there were no hysterical women at my side; at least, I'm pretty sure there weren't. After all, I was just a kid)
DrW wrote: ↑Thu Apr 01, 2021 7:07 pm
The skeptic would ask why such life changing event - one of sufficient impact to motivate
the writing of a book, was it not mentioned in public before two years after it happened. Indeed one would expect the miraculous deliverance of one of gods chosen from near certain death in a flaming airplane would have been front page news in Southern Utah, at least, especially in 1976.
A skeptic would ask why there is no contemporary record of this event to be found, even in the history of an airline that discloses operational details, down to the purchase of new aircraft, or that Robert Redford once flew with them?
I know that there is one that is making the argument for The Limited Biography Theory, that because we do not have access to the original account of which later embellishments may have been added, and that all later written accounts must be discounted as the spurious speculations of careless scribes, or the embellishments that keep getting added along the way by fickle memory, that it is a vain enterprise to attempt to verify any aspect of Nelson's account. But that really cuts both ways, doesn't it? In fact, I don't think it
equally cuts both ways. After all, the gentleman who wrote in his journals as well as his autobiography, and presumably has access to them, is the same person who can't seem to recount his experience in a materially cohesive manner. Why is that?
DrW wrote: ↑Thu Apr 01, 2021 7:07 pm
A skeptic would why such a dramatic and miraculous deliverance of a Mormon leader was not big news at the time in the land of the Mormons?
Minor quibble here: I am not sure that he would have been a household name in Mormon circles then. Nevertheless, that at least two papers, the Millard County Chronicles Progress and the St. George Spectrum, make no mention of it (while at the same time devoting ink to more banal incidents. If anyone knows any other papers in the area, I will be happy to check them.
A skeptic would ask why a story that is asserted to be fact is, so far, unfalsifiable.
Your assertion that the goal here is to prove "
what we knew all along -- that Nelson is lying SOB who makes Crap up--" , appears to be biased and is a bit over the top.
DrW wrote: ↑Thu Apr 01, 2021 7:07 pm
Until there is a shred of credible independent third party corroborating evidence, or contemporary published verification of some kind, I will remain a non-believer. And it appears than many others will as well.
It is said that the race goes not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, but that's the way to bet. If someone here knows the answer and said that they would not reveal it unless I placed a bet on one side or the other. I would place mine down on the side that the Salt Lake to St. George emergency landing near Delta iteration of this story with all its attendant details just didn't happen.