Is Obama on the way to victory?

[_aussieguy55]

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/201 ... ctoral-map

Obama 237 strong 47 leans
Romney 170 strong 0 leans

There are 84 tossups

This means for Romney to win he has to win all tossup and some of Obama's leans
All Obama has to do is win 33 of his leans and his over the 270.

Looks interesting Your electoral system is strange.

[_Bond James Bond]

Check my thread Election 2012 for electoral college predictions and other catch all election coverage:

viewtopic.php?f=5&t=23654

[_ajax18]

Yes. That's good news if you're on welfare, bad news if you hold a job. Good news if you're a minority, bad news if you don't have a card to play. But ultimately as the rule of law is eroded away it will be bad news for humanity in general. Once the welfare cases have consumed the few remaining working people, they'll start to consume each other in a scene similar to the current American inner city.

[_MsJack]

I like Election Projection. The author freely admits he's Republican, but he correctly predicted the winner plus 48 out of 50 states in both 2004 and 2008, so I don't think his method shows much bias. Obama definitely has an electoral vote advantage right now, but it's close.

[_bcspace]

Your electoral system is strange.

It's a Constitutional check and balance on a small number of large states from bullying the rest. Every state is awarded an electoral vote (delegate) for the number of Federal House representatives they have and that preserves proportionality because those are determined by population each census.

However, each state also gets two electoral votes regardless of population (each state has two Senators at the Federal level). So a small state that might only have one or two delegates by population is represented in the national election by a greater percentage than a larger state because said small state might have double the representation than it would otherwise have. A larger state also has the two additional electoral votes but it's increase in representation is much less because the 2 is added to, say, the 30 it already has.

Obviously this means a president can be elected with fewer individual votes nationally than the opponent. So the battle is state by state, to win their electoral votes. The Left is keen on removing this process and deceiving others about how difficult it is to comprehend because they rely on mob rule. However our founding fathers recognized the problems of mob rule (example: ancient Greece) and so they installed layered representation and the electoral college.