RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 201

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_Bob Loblaw
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _Bob Loblaw »



This is meaningless, of course. RCP also has Obama winning 294 to 244 if the election were held today. Romney has to make up ground in places like Ohio and Iowa, but he's not.
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_bcspace
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _bcspace »

It's not meaningless since just a few days ago it was something like O-226 and R-191. And just a few days before that Romney was at 176. Of course if by meaningless you are merely referring to the fact that the election is not being held today, I agree. But Romney is slowly but surely catching up to Obama and is even surpassing him on multiple issues and in several states that were once considered secure for Obama. On top of that, it's not at a rate that's too slow for Nov 6.
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_EAllusion
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _EAllusion »

I wonder why NC is considered a lean Romney with 5 points but MI is considered a toss up with 5 points. What's the criteria?
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _Bob Loblaw »

EAllusion wrote:I wonder why NC is considered a lean Romney with 5 points but MI is considered a toss up with 5 points. What's the criteria?


Above 5% is a leaning, 5% or less is a toss-up.

Thus, Michigan (5.0) is a toss-up, while North Carolina (5.6) is leaning.
"It doesn't seem fair, does it Norm--that I should have so much knowledge when there are people in the world that have to go to bed stupid every night." -- Clifford C. Clavin, USPS

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_EAllusion
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _EAllusion »

Bob Loblaw wrote:
EAllusion wrote:I wonder why NC is considered a lean Romney with 5 points but MI is considered a toss up with 5 points. What's the criteria?


Above 5% is a leaning, 5% or less is a toss-up.

Thus, Michigan (5.0) is a toss-up, while North Carolina (5.6) is leaning.

Gotcha
_Gadianton
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _Gadianton »

BC wrote:It's not meaningless since just a few days ago it was something like O-226 and R-191


You've been saying Romney has been in the lead the whole time, so how is it possible he's now taking the lead?
_cinepro
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _cinepro »

Wow, I remember '84 was pretty good, but '72 wasn't bad either. What was Nixon so worried about that he needed to plant bugs at Watergate? Did he really want Massachusetts that bad?
_EAllusion
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _EAllusion »

Gadianton wrote:
BC wrote:It's not meaningless since just a few days ago it was something like O-226 and R-191


You've been saying Romney has been in the lead the whole time, so how is it possible he's now taking the lead?

The conservative "unskewed' polling BCSpace referenced earlier when he was pushing the polling conspiracy to explain Obama's lead when Romney secretly was way up now has Romney +21. +21
_Bob Loblaw
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Re: RealClear Electoral map: Romney takes the lead 206 to 2

Post by _Bob Loblaw »

EAllusion wrote:The conservative "unskewed' polling BCSpace referenced earlier when he was pushing the polling conspiracy to explain Obama's lead when Romney secretly was way up now has Romney +21. +21


It's funny how both sides attack the polls when the numbers aren't what they want.
"It doesn't seem fair, does it Norm--that I should have so much knowledge when there are people in the world that have to go to bed stupid every night." -- Clifford C. Clavin, USPS

"¡No contaban con mi astucia!" -- El Chapulin Colorado
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