The 2012 Election

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_Bond James Bond
_Emeritus
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Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _Bond James Bond »

I might go 51 for 51 lol. Although if Obama wins Florida that wouldn't suck.


I'll be bolding as we go along the states I got right:

Obama: 303
California-55 (2008 - Obama)
New York-29 (2008 - Obama)
Illinois-20 (2008 - Obama's home state)
Washington-12 (2008 - Obama)
Oregon-7 (2008 - Obama)
Massachusetts-11 (2008 - Obama)
New Jersey-14 (2008 - Obama)
Hawaii-4 (2008 - Obama)
Minnesota-10 (2008 - Obama)
Maryland-10 (2008 - Obama)
Michigan-16 (2008 - Obama)
New Mexico-5 (2008 - Obama)

Maine-4 (2008 - Obama)
Delaware-3 (2008 - Obama)
Connecticut-7 (2008 - Obama)
Vermont-3 (2008 - Obama)
Rhode Island-4 (2008 - Obama)
DC-3 (2008 - Obama)
Pennsylvania-20 (Obama-2008)
Nevada-6 (Obama-2008)
New Hampshire-4 (Obama-2008)
Ohio-18 (Obama-2008)
Wisconsin-10 (2008 - Obama)
Iowa-6 (Obama-2008)
Colorado-9 (Obama-2008)
Virginia-13 (Obama-2008)

Romney: 235
Texas-38 (2008 - McCain)
Tennessee-11 (2008- McCain)
Kentucky-8 (2008 - McCain)
Louisiana-8 (2008 - McCain)
Alabama-9 (2008 - McCain)
Mississippi-6 (2008 - McCain)

Alaska-3 (2008 - McCain)
Oklahoma-7 (2008 - McCain)
Kansas-6 (2008 - McCain)
Nebraska-5 (2008 - McCain)

Arkansas-4 (2008- McCain) (which I've forgotten about all this time :P)
North Dakota-3 (2008 - McCain)
South Dakota-3 (2008 - McCain)

Montana-3 (2008 - McCain)
Wyoming-3 (2008 - McCain)

Utah-6 (2008 - McCain)
Idaho-4 (2008 - McCain)

Georgia-16 (2008 - McCain)
West Virginia-5 (2008 - McCain)
South Carolina-9 (2008 - McCain)
Arizona-11 (2008-McCain)
Indiana-11 (Obama-2008)
Missouri-10 (McCain-2008)
North Carolina-15 (Obama-2008)

Florida-29 (Obama-2008)
Last edited by Guest on Wed Nov 07, 2012 5:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
Whatever appears to be against the Book of Mormon is going to be overturned at some time in the future. So we can be pretty open minded.-charity 3/7/07

MASH quotes
I peeked in the back [of the Bible] Frank, the Devil did it.
I avoid church religiously.
This isn't one of my sermons, I expect you to listen.
_bcspace
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Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _bcspace »

And that's it (OH 11:15 EST). Democrats called it but only by luck. Hindsight will make them claim they knew better. The war goes on. The Democrats and their sheep will continue to destroy the nation.
Machina Sublime
Satan's Plan Deconstructed.
Your Best Resource On Joseph Smith's Polygamy.
Conservatism is the Gospel of Christ and the Plan of Salvation in Action.
The Degeneracy Of Progressivism.
_Molok
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Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _Molok »

I can't wait to listen to talk radio tomorrow. Let the butthurt begin.
_bcspace
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Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _bcspace »

Looks like the biggest winner tonight is Nate Silver, and the biggest losers are all the republican poll "unskewers." All that nonsense about oversampling democrats....


Some pollster heads will surely roll.
Machina Sublime
Satan's Plan Deconstructed.
Your Best Resource On Joseph Smith's Polygamy.
Conservatism is the Gospel of Christ and the Plan of Salvation in Action.
The Degeneracy Of Progressivism.
_Res Ipsa
_Emeritus
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Joined: Fri Oct 05, 2012 11:37 pm

Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _Res Ipsa »

I doubt it. The take home is that poll averaging works. Nate Silver's method works. Sam Wang's method works. All this carping about them being "liberals" has been shown up as the nonsense it is. This should be the death of poll unskewing, at least among the remaining rational republicans.
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
_Brackite
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Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _Brackite »

The worst news tonight is Senator Scott Brown losing.
"And I've said it before, you want to know what Joseph Smith looked like in Nauvoo, just look at Trump." - Fence Sitter
_Bond James Bond
_Emeritus
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Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _Bond James Bond »

So it looks like I'm going 50 out of 51. I slipped on Florida which should come home to Obama, but if it does it will be the exact prediction I made of 332-206 six months ago in the OP of this thread. Pretty darn good on my part.


I'll be bolding as we go along the states I got right:

Obama: 303
[b]California-55 (2008 - Obama)
New York-29 (2008 - Obama)
Illinois-20 (2008 - Obama's home state)
Washington-12 (2008 - Obama)
Oregon-7 (2008 - Obama)
Massachusetts-11 (2008 - Obama)
New Jersey-14 (2008 - Obama)
Hawaii-4 (2008 - Obama)
Minnesota-10 (2008 - Obama)
Maryland-10 (2008 - Obama)
Michigan-16 (2008 - Obama)
New Mexico-5 (2008 - Obama)

Maine-4 (2008 - Obama)
Delaware-3 (2008 - Obama)
Connecticut-7 (2008 - Obama)
Vermont-3 (2008 - Obama)
Rhode Island-4 (2008 - Obama)
DC-3 (2008 - Obama)
Pennsylvania-20 (Obama-2008)
Nevada-6 (Obama-2008)
New Hampshire-4 (Obama-2008)
Ohio-18 (Obama-2008)
Wisconsin-10 (2008 - Obama)
Iowa-6 (Obama-2008)
Colorado-9 (Obama-2008)
Virginia-13 (Obama-2008)[/b]

Romney: 235
Texas-38 (2008 - McCain)
Tennessee-11 (2008- McCain)
Kentucky-8 (2008 - McCain)
Louisiana-8 (2008 - McCain)
Alabama-9 (2008 - McCain)
Mississippi-6 (2008 - McCain)

Alaska-3 (2008 - McCain)
Oklahoma-7 (2008 - McCain)
Kansas-6 (2008 - McCain)
Nebraska-5 (2008 - McCain)

Arkansas-4 (2008- McCain) (which I've forgotten about all this time :P)
North Dakota-3 (2008 - McCain)
South Dakota-3 (2008 - McCain)

Montana-3 (2008 - McCain)
Wyoming-3 (2008 - McCain)

Utah-6 (2008 - McCain)
Idaho-4 (2008 - McCain)

Georgia-16 (2008 - McCain)
West Virginia-5 (2008 - McCain)
South Carolina-9 (2008 - McCain)
Arizona-11 (2008-McCain)
Indiana-11 (Obama-2008)
Missouri-10 (McCain-2008)
North Carolina-15 (Obama-2008)

Florida-29 (Obama-2008)
Whatever appears to be against the Book of Mormon is going to be overturned at some time in the future. So we can be pretty open minded.-charity 3/7/07

MASH quotes
I peeked in the back [of the Bible] Frank, the Devil did it.
I avoid church religiously.
This isn't one of my sermons, I expect you to listen.
_honorentheos
_Emeritus
Posts: 11104
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 5:17 am

Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _honorentheos »

Bond James Bond wrote:So it looks like I'm going 50 out of 51. I slipped on Florida which should come home to Obama, but if it does it will be the exact prediction I made of 332-206 six months ago in the OP of this thread. Pretty darn good on my part.


Nice job Bond. That's impressive.
The world is always full of the sound of waves..but who knows the heart of the sea, a hundred feet down? Who knows it's depth?
~ Eiji Yoshikawa
_EAllusion
_Emeritus
Posts: 18519
Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2007 12:39 pm

Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _EAllusion »

Sam Wang was essentially dead on again. So...yeah.
_MCB
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Re: The 2012 Election

Post by _MCB »

Someone interrupted my beauty sleep last night with a pair of text messages. I live and breathe by the prophet Nate Silver. Wasn't worried. :geek:
Huckelberry said:
I see the order and harmony to be the very image of God which smiles upon us each morning as we awake.

http://www.vatican.va/archive/ccc_css/a ... cc_toc.htm
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