marg wrote:
You seem to be arguing that if Smith/or other Book of Mormon author was trying to imitate the KJB that they are likely to write phrases similar and identical to what's in the KJB. I'd agree with that, if they were so familiar with it that without specifically copying with a KJB on hand that many phrases were so ingrained in their mind, that they could duplicate phrasing. But really that's not random, it's still a function of their knowledge and memory of the KJB. And we already know (I believe) that Issiah from the KJB was a deliberate copy in the Book of Mormon..so that wasn't random.
You're right. I've been using "random" as a placeholder for "not copying." I think some parallels may be random, i.e., pure coincidence, and that's what we'd find by studying two books of the same era that we have no reason to believe had any connection. Others may be simply an artifact of trying to copy the style. Still others may be phrases learned from the KJV but not intentionally inserted as such into the book. And others may be attempts to reconstruct memorized passages from the KJV. I've lumped them together because I've understood the hypothesis to be "Copying." That makes the null hypothesis "Not Copying."
marg wrote:So all the other parts besides the material copied from Issiah in which parallels occur ..why assume that the best fit explanation is due to being random occurrences..as opposed to the Book of Mormon writer/Smith either deliberately copying.. with text in hand or from memory.
I'm not assuming a best fit explanation. I'm saying that, before we conclude that "copying" is the best fit explanation, we have to understand the role of chance.
marg wrote:This is not the same situation in which one takes a book..and then searches other books to find if there exist parallel phrases. This isn't as random a situation as that. Given the data in this situation that Issiah was acknowledged as copied (within the Book of Mormon itself)..then on what basis should you reject other parallels in phrasing occurring the same way.. by a Book of Mormon writer copying either directly with the KJB in hand or via memory?
The problem is, there are several possible causes of identical sequences of words in the two books. One is copying/memorization. Given the length of the Isaiah passages in 2 Nephi, I would agree that the only plausible explanation is copying/memorization. But what does that mean about vessr's list? I think there is still a baseline of "chance" that needs to be evaluated before we conclude anything from vessr's parallels. Just to pick on one example, vessr lists "puffed up" as a parallel. Is this evidence of copying? Did Joseph Smith really think "puffed up -- I like that two word clause in the Bible so I'm going to throw it in to the Book of Mormon somewhere?" I dunno. But what I'm fairly sure of is that chance plays a role in the occurrence of identical word sequences and that we haven't attempted to identify what it is.
And I am reacting somewhat to where Roger wants to take the argument: parallels between the Spaulding manuscript and the Book of Mormon.
Brad Hudson wrote:
I think that, from the perspective we share (no God), the issue of "translation" is a red herring. Whatever Smith was doing, he wasn't "translating" anything. He was writing a new book of scripture. (Leaving aside for now the issue of multiple authorship.) He also chose to write that new book of scripture using the "voice" of the KJV. So, the question reduces to the extent to which any parallels in language, sentence structure, etc. are a result of deliberate copying (hypothesis) or something else, including an artifact of the attempt to copy the "voice" (null hypothesis). What I'm saying is that, unless we know what the null hypothesis looks like, we have nothing to compare vessr's parallels to.
marg wrote: I agree with you that the hypothesis of Smith translating should be rejected.
I disagree with your reasoning for rejecting parallels in this situation. The likelihood that a Book of Mormon writer in trying to sound like the KJB would write exact phrasing as a function of randomness decreases as the parallels increase. But on what basis is that the preferred best fit explanation? On what basis do you reject copying? Because of the witnesses statements..the witnesses whose statements are extremely unreliable, who have a vested interest in the Book of Mormon's success?
Even if a Book of Mormon writer was so familiar with the KJB that he pretty much knew it from memory and didn't need a copy in front of him ..even in that case though, it's not a random situation, the KJB is still being copied.
I don't think I'm rejecting copying. I'm trying to evaluate copying as a hypothesis and not copying as the null hypothesis, and then evaluate how vessr's parallels fit as evidence. Vessrs parallels are sequences of words that appear in the same order, or nearly in the same order. If we take any two books of sufficient volume, I suspect there is some chance that these types of parallels will occur for reasons other than copying. The longer the two books are, the greater the odds of an unintentional parallel. If I'm going to confirm a hypothesis, one of the things I must do is understand the role of chance in what I'm doing. That's what I don't understand here, because no one's presented any relevant data on it. So, I see this as a flaw in the experimental design that needs to be addressed.
Yes, all other things being equal, more parallels would be a stronger indication of copying than fewer parallels. But go with me here for a minute. You and I are going to conduct an experiment testing ESP. We're going to do it with a deck of cards that has five symbols on it. The "projector" looks at the card and pictures the symbol in his mind. The "receiver" knows the five possible symbols, and writes down which one he thinks it is. So, by chance, I expect a 20% success rate for the predictions.
As we go, I come to you and say: "Here's a guy who got 80% right. And here's one with 75%. And one with 85%." Now, is it true that, the more people with high percentages I find, the stronger the evidence for ESP? It depends entirely on how many trials we've run. If we know how many trials we've run, we can evaluate whether those three results are likely due to chance or likely due to something else. That's what we don't know here -- the probability that words in the same sequence is due to something other than copying.
So, I'm not rejecting copying as an explanation. I'm skeptical about the evidential value of vessr's parallels because we haven't attempted to assess the role of chance. Yes, we can say "500 sounds like a lot." But compared to what? We can't make a comparison unless we look.
The witness statements are a whole other issue. But I'm not rejecting copying based on the witness statements. I think that copying or memorization are the best fit explanations for the match between 2 Nephi and Isaiah and 3 Nephi and the Sermon on the Mount. But those aren't what vessr is talking about -- he's looking at other identical word sequences, some as small as two words. And before attempting to evaluate those, I think we need to have examined the role of "chance."