CaliforniaKid wrote:Recently, however, I ran across a description of a less well-known fallacy that I think is equally applicable to the religion debates. For lack of a formal Latin phrase, I'll call this the "fallacy of too much information." The following description of this fallacy is loosely based on Malcolm Gladwell's book Blink: The Power of Thinking without Thinking.
Of course, one could argue that whereas a 95% confidence might be acceptable in a life-or-death medical diagnosis, it’s not acceptable where one’s immortal soul is concerned. But that's beside the point if 95% is the best we can achieve. Besides, the stakes may be higher, but the problem of limited resources remains. Just as hospitals have limited resources to diagnose a large number of potentially life-threatening conditions, so people have limited time to investigate a large number of religious claims with potentially eternal consequences. We just can’t afford to confuse ourselves or bog ourselves down in the quest for 100% certainty with respect to every claim.
Michael Coe made a similar observation in his Dialogue article about Book of Mormon archaeology. I can't find the article online at the moment, so I'm paraphrasing by memory. He said something like the apologists run around saying, "hey, but look at this tree", while the elephant in the room is more like THERE WERE NO HORSES IN MESOAMERICA.
Like I said, very rough paraphrase that doesn't do him service, but he was making the same point that Celestial Kingdom is making here. Didn't Nibley once admit that he was throwing a bunch of spaghetti against the wall in the hopes that one would stick? It's a mess of spaghetti noodles out there.