I think earlier in the month some of the Republicans thought they'd get a few Democrats to support the nomination, but now I'd be absolutely astonished if any Democrats vote in favor of Kavanaugh. Looking at Wikipedia the quickest confirmation for the current Supreme Court (I don't know if I'm using the right term) was for Ginsberg at 50 days. I think we're down to 41 days before the November election, so it'd be really, really tight if they were to ditch Kavanaugh, today, and then nominate someone tomorrow. That's not happening. In a worst-case scenario, Kavanaugh gets owned on Thursday, Friday he's ditched, and the GOP gets around to nominating someone on Monday.
That's 36 days.
Looking at Wiki Justice O'Conner got in at 33 days. But I don't think this can work in this era. If, say, Kavanaugh is dumped or withdraws (and let's say McConnell really, really wants his guy
Amal Thapar), and then Trump takes another two weeks to choose a replacement there just isn't enough time to seriously vet the new nominee before the lame-duck session.
I'd guess it's not a safe bet to know what would happen to Kavanaugh if more accusations came out after he’d already been confirmed to the Supreme Court, but the possibilities include impeachment, though I'm not sure how that'd work.
There's maybe an upside to this Kavanaugh thing if the GOP suffers a couple of defectors. Rank-and-file Conservative voters don't care about the Supreme Court as much as Party activists and other politicos do, but if their guy, Kavanaugh, is dropped or whatever, we'll probably see a lot of energy on their side not only for the upcoming elections, but for an even more Conservative justice which could be
Amy Coney Barrett. But I don't know. That might be an overreach because we have pro-choice GOP Senators, but they seem to vote against their consciences on this issue.
- Doc