A Brokered Democratic Convention?

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_subgenius
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _subgenius »

Kevin Graham wrote:Here are the facts.

:lol: bet

Kevin Graham wrote:Trump barely won by the skin of his teeth with the benefit of numerous factors that aren't likely to exist in 2020.

Dude, it was a landlside victory. Trump beat Hillary Clinton like a drum.

Kevin Graham wrote:Even after two years with a good economy, his approval ratings move from 5-10 points worse than it was when he got elected. His base is getting smaller, not bigger.

Yet, even USA today is reporting that his approval rating is rising.


Kevin Graham wrote:Only 39% of the female voters voted Trump. That is likely to get even worse after the Kavanaugh debacle.

Yeah, the debacle of America seeing the Democrats prop up a fabricated testimony that demeaned real victims sure hit home with women.

Kevin Graham wrote:Trump only got 28% of the Hispanic vote. That's likely to get worse after his mistreatment of Puerto Rico, the Mexican families on the border and the Right Wing's hysterical obsession with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

Yet once again, realty leaves your orbit.

Kevin Graham wrote:Trump's largest pool of voters by age demographic was voters over the age of 65. More than 53% of his voting base is in this group. Many of them won't be voting in 2020 because they'll be dead.

Yes, people dying at 69yo...no elderly voters in 2020...because the fact that +65 is the largest growing demographic is lost on you.

Kevin Graham wrote:Trump's worse age demographic was Hillary's best, young adults ages 18-29. Trump only got 28% and Hillary got 58% of that group. And that group is likely to get bigger in 2020.

The demographic that is least likely to vote and is most likely to be stoopid.

Kevin Graham wrote:Personally I think the Democrats best chance to win is with Stacey Abrams.

of course you do, bless your heart.
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
_honorentheos
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _honorentheos »

Sarah Sander's Q&A briefing seems to be exactly the kind of thing that we will only hear more of, at higher volumes, and increasing tempo heading into the election. Will it change anyone's mind to flip from one side to the other? Maybe a few people one way or the other, but certainly not in any meaningful way. But is this type of rhetoric intentional and crafted to make people become so sick of politics they tune it out and wish it would all just go away, possibly even not bothering to vote? Magic 8 ball says, "Signs point to yes."

https://www.cnn.com/2019/03/12/politics ... index.html
The world is always full of the sound of waves..but who knows the heart of the sea, a hundred feet down? Who knows it's depth?
~ Eiji Yoshikawa
_Kevin Graham
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _Kevin Graham »

Dude, it was a landlside victory. Trump beat Hillary Clinton like a drum.

Trump got just 46.1% of the vote. Among Republicans over the past 50 years, only Bob Dole and John McCain got a less % of the electorate. This means Hillary convinced 3 million more Americans to vote for her. Trump's victory was decided in the electoral college that amounted to fewer than 100,000 votes. Get your head out of your ass.
Yet, even USA today is reporting that his approval rating is rising.

It was rising but now dropping again, then rising, then falling, etc. It is still at record lows for a first term President in his third year in a good economy.
Yeah, the debacle of America seeing the Democrats prop up a fabricated testimony that demeaned real victims sure hit home with women.

Your Tucker Carlson perspective on women is irrelevant to the fact that Trump only has support among stupid religious white women.
Yet once again, realty leaves your orbit.

That's not a response to the facts.
Yes, people dying at 69yo...no elderly voters in 2020

That's not what I said dumbass. His primary voter bracket, more than half of those who voted for him, are those older than 65. Do you know what this means? It means anyone older than 65. Including those in their 70's-90's who likely voted for him but are either 1. not voting because they are too old to be concerned about politics at this stage or 2. can't vote because they're dead.
...because the fact that +65 is the largest growing demographic is lost on you.

And you think people are born 65 years of age and suddenly make that group larger? The only reason that demographic is growing is because people aged 61-64 during the 2016 election are now 65+. Roughly 51% of those people voted for Trump. The younger and more educated a person is, the more likely they are not to vote for Trump. Only 36% of all college graduates voted for Trump.
The demographic that is least likely to vote and is most likely to be stoopid.

Voters are more likely to vote the older they get and reach their peak at about age 50 and then it becomes gradually less likely they'll vote. But you're right. Republicans do try to suppress the vote as much as they can to make it more difficult for younger kids to vote. They're opposed to letting kids vote at college campuses, for example.
_canpakes
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _canpakes »

Kevin Graham wrote:
Dude, it was a landlside victory. Trump beat Hillary Clinton like a drum.

Trump got just 46.1% of the vote. Among Republicans over the past 50 years, only Bob Dole and John McCain got a less % of the electorate. This means Hillary convinced 3 million more Americans to vote for her. Trump's victory was decided in the electoral college that amounted to fewer than 100,000 votes. Get your head out of your ass.

Trump is in office courtesy of a special affirmative action program called the Electoral College. He otherwise couldn’t have made it there based on the actual will of the people. ; )
_Kevin Graham
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _Kevin Graham »

First Democrats were criticized because they never had any new ideas. Now that they have bold initiatives which we all know will be implemented in the future at some point, they're being attacked for having ideas other than typical Republican policy of "cut taxes on rich people and “F” the poor."
_Brackite
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _Brackite »

I don't think that Trump will ever get at least 50% of the vote. But if there is a strong third-party candidate, I think that Trump will win reelection. Remember also that Trump will still have an Electoral College advantage.
"And I've said it before, you want to know what Joseph Smith looked like in Nauvoo, just look at Trump." - Fence Sitter
_Brackite
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _Brackite »

Dude, it was a landlside victory. Trump beat Hillary Clinton like a drum.


It was also repeated on the Hannity radio show today that Trump won in an Electoral College landslide. While Trump did get a higher percentage of the Electoral vote than Jimmy Carter and Bush 43, Trump got a lower percentage of the Electoral vote than Benjamin Harrison and Harry S. Truman. And if one gets less of a percentage of Electoral votes than Harrison and Truman, that is not an Electoral College landslide. (Not to mention that Clinton got about 2.9 million more votes than Trump.)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of ... ege_margin
"And I've said it before, you want to know what Joseph Smith looked like in Nauvoo, just look at Trump." - Fence Sitter
_subgenius
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _subgenius »

Image
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
_canpakes
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _canpakes »

Lol. “Spokesperson”. That right there highlights a difference between the two parties that the author of that tweet fails to realize.
_subgenius
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Re: A Brokered Democratic Convention?

Post by _subgenius »

canpakes wrote:Lol. “Spokesperson”. That right there highlights a difference between the two parties that the author of that tweet fails to realize.

well, that's the smart takeaway from that post....yep.
Seek freedom and become captive of your desires...seek discipline and find your liberty
I can tell if a person is judgmental just by looking at them
what is chaos to the fly is normal to the spider - morticia addams
If you're not upsetting idiots, you might be an idiot. - Ted Nugent
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