The coronavirus spread updated in real time

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_Jersey Girl
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Jersey Girl »

honorentheos wrote:Of the two, Biden presented actions based on a realistic understanding of how government works.


That's exactly what I meant in my above. He knows how government works, he knows how to use it to full advantage and he articulated such in a small space of time.

ETA:I really like this format absent an audience.
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_Res Ipsa
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Res Ipsa »

Jersey Girl wrote:Here's what we jumped to as of this posting.

3,689 US

Here's us.

Colorado, US
Confirmed: 131
Deaths: 1
Recovered: 0
Active: 130

Still no cases reported in West Virginia. What's that about? White lightning?


Just for comparison, these are the stats for my county:

Confirmed cases: 176
Deaths: 4
Recovered: 56
Active: 116
Hospitalized: 32
In Isolation: 40

12 of the active cases are from the Josephine care facility in Stanwood. Only one resident has died so far. The facility is still in lockdown.
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
_Jersey Girl
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Jersey Girl »

Res Ipsa wrote:
Jersey Girl wrote:Here's what we jumped to as of this posting.

3,689 US

Here's us.

Colorado, US
Confirmed: 131
Deaths: 1
Recovered: 0
Active: 130

Still no cases reported in West Virginia. What's that about? White lightning?


Just for comparison, these are the stats for my county:

Confirmed cases: 176
Deaths: 4
Recovered: 56
Active: 116
Hospitalized: 32
In Isolation: 40

12 of the active cases are from the Josephine care facility in Stanwood. Only one resident has died so far. The facility is still in lockdown.


Thank you. We actually have one recovered in our county. Probably didn't make it into the stats yet.
Failure is not falling down but refusing to get up.
Chinese Proverb
_Res Ipsa
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Res Ipsa »

The number of recovered gives me hope. I hope they keep reporting it.
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
_subgenius
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _subgenius »

Res Ipsa wrote:The number of recovered gives me hope. I hope they keep reporting it.

I can't seem to find your post(s) seeking hope during H1N1 ...can you link?
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_Doctor CamNC4Me
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Doctor CamNC4Me »

subgenius wrote:
Res Ipsa wrote:The number of recovered gives me hope. I hope they keep reporting it.

I can't seem to find your post(s) seeking hope during H1N1 ...can you link?


Image
In the face of madness, rationality has no power - Xiao Wang, US historiographer, 2287 AD.

Every record...falsified, every book rewritten...every statue...has been renamed or torn down, every date...altered...the process is continuing...minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Ideology is always right.
_Doctor CamNC4Me
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Doctor CamNC4Me »

/u/MrTemple estimates actual US COVID-19 infections from confirmed cases. Granted it's a guy just doing math, but he makes a compelling case for the rate of infections in the US:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/co ... n/fkkz6y4/

Here's the discussion thread for the comment above:

https://www.reddit.com/r/bestof/comment ... nfections/

tl;dr - Lots of back-of-the-envelope speculations happening, users provide quotes from Drs estimating various numbers.

I'm hoping the whole #flattenthecurve thing is actually making a difference.

- Doc
In the face of madness, rationality has no power - Xiao Wang, US historiographer, 2287 AD.

Every record...falsified, every book rewritten...every statue...has been renamed or torn down, every date...altered...the process is continuing...minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Ideology is always right.
_Res Ipsa
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Res Ipsa »

Found an article on aerosol transmission. Clarified for me the difference between can and does. https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/16/cor ... an-doomed/
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
_Jersey Girl
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Jersey Girl »

I read this last night before turning in. Will you guys please take a look and comment? I am not familiar with this website. Is the antiviral medication mentioned here a thing do you think?

Four Ways Experts Say Coronavirus Nightmare Could End

https://www.thedailybeast.com/four-ways ... d?ref=home
Failure is not falling down but refusing to get up.
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_Res Ipsa
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Re: The coronavirus spread updated in real time

Post by _Res Ipsa »

Jersey Girl wrote:I read this last night before turning in. Will you guys please take a look and comment? I am not familiar with this website. Is the antiviral medication mentioned here a thing do you think?

Four Ways Experts Say Coronavirus Nightmare Could End

https://www.thedailybeast.com/four-ways ... d?ref=home


It could be a thing. Lots of researchers are working on it. Still to early to tell.

A couple of other things:

1. The phase 1 vaccine trial mentioned in the article began today.

2. We don't know how much immunity COVID-19 occurs or how long it lasts. If I recall correctly, Coronaviruses tend to confer relatively short-lived immunity. So it might not be possible to develop herd immunity without help from a vaccine.

3. There is a fifth possible ending: it doesn't really end. It becomes endemic in the population and flares up from time to time.

The Daily Beast would not be my preferred source for pandemic information, but the interview is with an epidemiologist who sounds in with what epidemiologists are saying.
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
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