The ldsfaqs / Climate Change MEGATHREAD

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_Res Ipsa
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Re: Climate REALITY... The Simple Truth... Raw U.S. Data!

Post by _Res Ipsa »

mikwut wrote:Hi Res,

Man, this issue seems like a gish gallup real quick. I can't keep up when every issue requires lengthy response and Gunnar makes quippy comments that I must be chicken or something.

I wonder if catastrophic global warming was in fact not accurate would you be open minded? Kind of like asking us when we were Mormon if we wanted to know if it was false?

The following paper by the the Connolly's seems promising. So what do you do with something like it, just say they are paid shills and move on? Or do you look at the data they provide and make a judgment consistent with that data?

file:///Users/marcwuthrich/Downloads/SCC2015_preprint.pdf

https://globalwarmingsolved.com/faq/#our_papers

mikwut


Seriously? Why do you think guys who claim that CO2 “cannot” warm the atmosphere are worth spending five minutes on? On what basis do you find these papers “promising?” There is a reason why these guys aren’t submitting stuff to peer reviewed publications, where their papers have to comply with basic physics.

Yes, I’m open minded, but not so much that my brains fall out.
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
_mikwut
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Re: Climate REALITY... The Simple Truth... Raw U.S. Data!

Post by _mikwut »

Res,

Earth-Science Reviews is a monthly peer-reviewed scientific journal published by Elsevier.

mik
All communication relies, to a noticeable extent on evoking knowledge that we cannot tell, all our knowledge of mental processes, like feelings or conscious intellectual activities, is based on a knowledge which we cannot tell.
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"Why are you afraid, have you still no faith?" Mark 4:40
_ldsfaqs
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Re: Climate REALITY... The Simple Truth... Raw U.S. Data!

Post by _ldsfaqs »

Res Ipsa wrote:Seriously? Why do you think guys who claim that CO2 “cannot” warm the atmosphere are worth spending five minutes on? On what basis do you find these papers “promising?” There is a reason why these guys aren’t submitting stuff to peer reviewed publications, where their papers have to comply with basic physics.

Yes, I’m open minded, but not so much that my brains fall out.


I'm not following the conversation, but I don't think anyone is saying that.

What most I know say is that it has "little" effect on warming the atmosphere.
C02 is such a VERY TINY portion of atmospheric elements, that it's not even close to a "primary driver" of Temps, etc.

The other issue is the Temp/C02 historical record clearly shows C02 FOLLOWS Warming.
If you zoom in the 1,000's of years timeline of Temp and C02, you see that C02 almost entirely follows Warming occurrences.
That's a scientific fact per the data...

So, your "scientists" are starting from a false premise at the outset.
"Socialism is Rape and Capitalism is consensual sex" - Ben Shapiro
_Res Ipsa
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Re: Climate REALITY... The Simple Truth... Raw U.S. Data!

Post by _Res Ipsa »

mikwut wrote:Res,

Earth-Science Reviews is a monthly peer-reviewed scientific journal published by Elsevier.

mik


I thought you were talking about the eight papers that they submitted to an open peer review journal that they created themselves.

I do know Willie Soon. He’s an outlier who has a dubious track record. Have you tried to find any post-publication treatment of the paper?

No comment on their claim that the greenhouse effect is impossible?
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
_Res Ipsa
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Re: Climate REALITY... The Simple Truth... Raw U.S. Data!

Post by _Res Ipsa »

ldsfaqs wrote:
Res Ipsa wrote:Seriously? Why do you think guys who claim that CO2 “cannot” warm the atmosphere are worth spending five minutes on? On what basis do you find these papers “promising?” There is a reason why these guys aren’t submitting stuff to peer reviewed publications, where their papers have to comply with basic physics.

Yes, I’m open minded, but not so much that my brains fall out.


I'm not following the conversation, but I don't think anyone is saying that.

What most I know say is that it has "little" effect on warming the atmosphere.
C02 is such a VERY TINY portion of atmospheric elements, that it's not even close to a "primary driver" of Temps, etc.

The other issue is the Temp/C02 historical record clearly shows C02 FOLLOWS Warming.
If you zoom in the 1,000's of years timeline of Temp and C02, you see that C02 almost entirely follows Warming occurrences.
That's a scientific fact per the data...

So, your "scientists" are starting from a false premise at the outset.


Yes, I know you’re not following the conversation. The authors of the paper mukwit referred me to actually claim that adding CO2 to the atmosphere cannot cause it’s temperature to increase.

Faqs, you keeping making that CO2 argument like it’s something no one’s heard of before. It’s been answered thousands of times.

Over the scales of the ice ages, scientists know and understand that the main driver of those changes was the Milankovitch cycles. As the planet warmed, sequestered CO2 was released, warming the planet more. It’s called feedback. It can both be true that warming can Increase greenhouse gases, like the thawing permafrost is now, and that increasing greenhouse gases can cause the atmosphere to warm.

During the ice age cycles, we humans weren’t around to add gigatons of CO2 to the atmosphere every year. So, what’s happening now is different. Before, it was warming that added CO2 to the atmosphere. Now it’s us. And if you go look at those charts that show the range of CO2 during the ice age cycles and on up to the present, you’ll see that CO2 levels are dramatically higher than they were during the ice age cycles.

To top it off, we know where we are in The Milankovitch cycles. We should be cooling. So, something has overcome the sun’s influence and is driving temperatures up when changes in solar energy should be making them go down. And that something is our addition of greenhouse gases.

When you acknowledge that CO2 warms the atmosphere, you’re admitting that if humans add CO2 to the atmosphere, it will get warmer. We are adding lots of CO2. So, it has to warm. What happened before we were around doesn’t change that.

See: https://skepticalscience.com/co2-lags-temperature.htm
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
_Res Ipsa
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Re: Dr. Michael Mann... Fake Nobel Prize and Fake Hockey St

Post by _Res Ipsa »

Faqs, you really need to get your head out of Tony Heller’s ass.

The old IPCC graph was used as an illustration of what folks thought climate history looked like when what we had was climate records from Europe. It wasn’t based on a data set. Mann’s hockey stick paper was an attempt to reconstruct temperatures using proxies that included other regions. Nobody’s erasing anything. The temperature record had been the subject of dozens and dozens of studies since Mann’s original paper. The medieval warming period was simply not a global warming phenomenon. The fact that contradicts what you want to believe doesn’t mean someone committed fraud. It means we have more data than we did 30 years ago.

You keep whining about ad hominem attacks — you should listen to your own whining.
​“The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.”

― Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism, 1951
_EAllusion
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Re: Climate REALITY... The Simple Truth... Raw U.S. Data!

Post by _EAllusion »

Res Ipsa wrote:
Seriously? Why do you think guys who claim that CO2 “cannot” warm the atmosphere are worth spending five minutes on? On what basis do you find these papers “promising?” There is a reason why these guys aren’t submitting stuff to peer reviewed publications, where their papers have to comply with basic physics.

Yes, I’m open minded, but not so much that my brains fall out.
I'm not familiar with the Connolly's, but I am familiar with Willie Soon. If you're not, I'd recommend looking up some of his other publications to see what you're dealing with there.
_EAllusion
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Re: Climate REALITY... The Simple Truth... Raw U.S. Data!

Post by _EAllusion »

Res Ipsa wrote:I do know Willie Soon.


Heh. Nevermind. :p
_ldsfaqs
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50 Years of Failed Eco-pocalyptic Predictions...

Post by _ldsfaqs »

https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-yea ... redictions

This is just a TINY sample of false claims by AGW "scientists" and activists alike over the last 50 years. There are literally 1,000's more over the last 50 years if one counts all instances these False Prophets open their mouths on the subject when they've claimed some bad thing will have occurred by now, and at a particular location.

As easy as the science is to see and understand how these people are lying to us, if ANY of you have ANY sort of intelligence, it should give you pause that somehow, YOU'RE ALWAYS WRONG... None of your predictive models match the actual resulting measurements. None of your "catastrophy" claims come true, though not only do they NOT come true, they don't even come close to being true.

Here's some more fun...

18 spectacularly wrong predictions made around the time of first Earth Day in 1970

http://www.aei.org/publication/18-spect ... is-year-3/

by the way, I've been reading Newspapers, reading Magazines, watching the News, and watching various "science" related programs such as Leonard Nimoy's "In Search Of" since about 1977. So, I don't need Tony Heller or anyone else to tell me how FALSE your so-called "scientists" and activists are in their claims that are "supposedly based on consensus science" that I've watched with my OWN EYES having not come true for the last 50 years.

It would be nice if you all actually put on your thinking caps instead of appealing to authority that is clearly LYING to you.
"Socialism is Rape and Capitalism is consensual sex" - Ben Shapiro
_canpakes
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Re: 50 Years of Failed Eco-pocalyptic Predictions...

Post by _canpakes »

Just about everything that ldsfaqs wrote: is clearly LYING to you.
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